How likely sport is to land on that placement

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How much a point is worth depends regarding how likely sport is to land on that placement. The best evidence to use in estimating this probability is generally historical data for that sport. When you in order to be know just how much better Over 187.5 is than Over 188 for the Bulls-Knicks game, you'd want to find out how often exactly 188 points are scored in NBA card games. In fact, within that data you'd probably want to look only at games with lines close to 188, or at worst give those games more weight, because you're really not so curious about how often games projected to score 220 or 230 land on 188.

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