Adf test, Macroeconomics

Assignment Help:

Table Summary of results from the ADF test

Test Number

Oil

GDP

Interest rate

Inflation

Unemployment

Exchange Rate

1

1.169921

-3.4819***

-2.35867**

-2.23904**

-0.98162

-1.05852

2

0.16054

-6.0342***

-1.7243***

-3.5581***

-2.15841

-2.40748

3

-3.72037*

-6.0839***

-2.795304

-3.62005**

-1.70094

-2.67032

***/**/* - Denotes that null hypothesis can be rejected at the 1%/5%/10% significance levels respectively.Figures condensed from Appendix tables 1A -> 1F.

From Table it can be seen that the variables; Oil, GDP, interest rate and inflation are all stationary and can reject the null hypothesis at the normal significance levels. The critical values for this test are those derived by James Mackinnon (1996). Therefore they do not contain unit roots. However for the remaining two variables -exchange rates and unemployment - the null hypothesis cannot be rejected at the normal significance levels.Therefore it is confirmed that these variables are not stationary and do contain a unit root. According to Kennedy (2001) this means that the regressions for these variables will be spurious meaning that these regressions are likely to show a very high  value, indicating a strong goodness of fit. Also it might show t-statistics which deem that the coefficients are significant. However, these results may not have any economic significance at all.


Related Discussions:- Adf test

New equilibrium price also quantity, Take a look at the sugar market: US d...

Take a look at the sugar market: US demand: Q=60-2/3 P US domestic supply: Q=P Also, the US could import any quantity from world producers at (US$) 10/cents per lb a) In a sc

Find out reserve-deposit ratio and currency-deposit ratio , 1.  Assume the ...

1.  Assume the required reserve-deposit ratio is 12%, and the currency-deposit ratio is 38%. How much would money supply change if the Fed made open market purchases of $100 millio

Theory of aggregate deman, unplanned changes in inventory are counted as in...

unplanned changes in inventory are counted as inventory spending by firms.say true or false and justify

Calculate variable unit costs and total annual costs, How do you calculate ...

How do you calculate variable unit costs and total annual costs? Ans) Annual units sold, 1000. Raw materials yearly cost 650. Building rent yearly cost 9000. If sales volume enh

Show the destruction of capital, Q. Show the Destruction of capital? De...

Q. Show the Destruction of capital? Destruction of capital, for instance, through a war, works in the opposite way. Marginal product of labor falls, GDP per capita falls and po

Medical goods or services, For which of the following medical goods or serv...

For which of the following medical goods or services is the income elasticity of demand largest? a. emergency services after a car accident b. measles shots c. physical ex

Calculate private market equilibrium, Consider the following Marginal Priva...

Consider the following Marginal Private Cost (MPC), Marginal Social Cost (MSC) and market demand curves. These curves relate to a market for a product, the production of which gene

plot the aggregate demand, The economy of Mainland has the following aggre...

The economy of Mainland has the following aggregate and aggregate supply schedules:                               Real GDP Demanded                         Real GDP Supplie

Calculate the monetary policy multiplier, Consider the following macroecono...

Consider the following macroeconomic model: Y = C + I + G + NX C = 100 + 0.8 YD I   =  300 - 1000 i NX =  195 - 0.1 Y - 100 (E.R.) E.R. =  0.75 + 5 i M  =  ( 0.8

Neo-Keynesian Synthesis, how would you describe a neo-keynesian (or neoclas...

how would you describe a neo-keynesian (or neoclassical) synthesis? and why did Joan Robinson label it "bastard Keynesian"

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd