Which forecasting technique was more accurate

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Reference no: EM131034547

Consider the following data:

YEAR             SALES

2000                900

2001                1400

2002                1750

2003                1900

2004                1700

2005                1500

2006                2000

2007                1950

2008                2250

2009                2300

Suppose you wished to forecast sales for 2010. At first glance, which time-series forecasting method would you suggest are appropriate for this date?

Compute the forecast sales for 2010 using:

a. Simple Average

b. 3-year Weighted Average

c. 5-year Weighted Average

d. 3-year Exponentially Smoothed Weighted Average (using the weight factors and formula found on page 131- 1/6 , 1/3, and ½ for the 3 most recent years)

e. If actual sales for 2010 were 2500 units, which forecasting technique was more accurate?

Reference no: EM131034547

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