Estimate the project value at risk

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Reference no: EM133130303

Question - Sesco Bhd. (Sesco) manufactures electronic components for the domestic market. Covid-19 has impacted many businesses. The Board of Directors is of the opinion that manufacturing medical equipment is timely during this pandemic. As such, the directors are considering to diversify the company's business risk into manufacturing medical equipment for the healthcare industry. The project has a time horizon of four years. There is no significant change in capital structure after undertaking the project.

The annual cash flows before tax of the project are as follows:

Year

Cash flows before tax (RM '000)

0

(5,000)

1

1,500

2

2,500

3

3,600

4

5,600

Sesco has 2 million shares in issue. The shares are currently trading at RM3.50 per share. Its par value is RM1. It has a 5% RM0.5 million term loan from Maybank.

The risk-free rate is estimated to be 5% and the market risk premium is estimated to be 7%. The industry average asset beta for medical equipment manufacturing has been estimated at 0.8. Corporate tax rate is 30%.

The finance manager has estimated an annual standard deviation of RM100,000 in the project based on a normal distribution of returns. The average annual return on the project is RM1 million.

Required -

(a) Estimate the cost of capital that Sesco Bhd. should use to calculate the net present value of the project.

(b) Calculate the net present value and modified internal rate of return and comment on the results.

(c) Estimate the project's Value at risk (VAR) at a 95% confidence level over the project's life of four years. Comment on the answer.

Reference no: EM133130303

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