Estimate the probability of winning-dice probabilities

Reference no: EM1322621

Dice Probabilities:

A common dice game called craps is played in several variations, resulting in an infinitely large probability tree. To see some of the results associated with large probability tree. To see some of the results associated with large probability trees, consider the following single die game, similar to creaps, which we will call scraps.

A player rolls a single die, if the player rolls 2 or 6, he wins. If the player rolls a 1 he loses. With any other result the player rolls again. If his second roll matches his first roll, he wins. If he 2nd roll is 1,2 or 6, he loses. If the player does not win or lose on his second roll he continues to roll, using the same criteria given for the second roll.

i.e. 6 wins
3 4 6 loses
1 loses
3 5 2 loses
3 5 4 3 wins
3 3 wins
2 wins
3 3 3 3 4 5 wins

Using classical methods discussed in class, try to estimate the probability of winning. (You will likely not be able to get this exactly because of the nature of the problem, just make the best estimate you can)

Reference no: EM1322621

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