question, Business Management

Assignment Help:
Consider the following new business venture. An agent is considering investment in one of three real estate parcels:
• Option 1: multiunit rentals
• Option 2: commercial building
• Option 3: rural land development
The agent has a five-year time horizon and wishes to evaluate the opportunities irrespective of tax implications. However, the overriding consideration in the geographical market under study is the profitability of the market selected. The agent identified four possibilities as the fastest-growth markets:
• G1: Urban areas are the fastest growth.
• G2: Industrial development is the fastest growth.
• G3: Rural areas will grow most rapidly.
• G4: Growth will be balanced in all three areas.
The agent felt that each event or state of nature (G) was equally likely.
a. What management science tool is best for this problem and why?
b. What action would you recommend in light of the following payoff table? Show your solution in both a decision table and a decision tree. The decision tree may be hand drawn and scanned if you wish.

Option G1 G2 G3 G4
O1 $12,310,000 $10,750,00 $200,000 $35,000,000
O2 $10,860,000 $13,122,000 $500,000 $27,000,000
O3 $600,000 $9,900,000 $6,450,000 $21,000,000

c. A research firm has completed a growth study and has made projections. Its studies have been 95 percent reliable in the past, but you wonder if the new study will be worth its $700,000 price tag. The firm will sell the study only to one party who will retain proprietary rights.
d. Assume that you purchased the research that then showed:
• Pr(G1) = 0.10
• Pr(G2) = 0.20
• Pr(G3) = 0.45
• Pr(G4) = 0.25
What action would you take? What is the expected payoff? How sensitive is the action to changes in the probabilities?
e. If you were the agent in this case would you use these results, modify them or ignore them? Justify your answer.

Related Discussions:- question

PETER, What is a business model

What is a business model

Explain effective decision making, Question 1: (a) List three types of ...

Question 1: (a) List three types of supervision styles. (b) Describe each of them, stressing upon their importance to you as supervisors. (c) Write short notes on two maj

Relation between production and manufacturing budget, What is the relation ...

What is the relation between production and manufacturing budget? Relation between production and manufacturing budget: Production budget is a fraction of manufacturing bu

Demerits of specialisation include-exquisite flowers, Demerits of specialis...

Demerits of specialisation include: There is superior risk in providing only a restricted range of products or services, i.e. individual traders are not capable to enjoy

What is the importance of training and education, What is the importance of...

What is the importance of training and education? Importance of Training and Education: Education and training bring workers to a standard; here they can perform industr

Memo format addressed to the vp marketing, As a Sales Manager, prepare a on...

As a Sales Manager, prepare a one page report in memo format addressed to the VP Marketing, providing sales updates for a newly launched FMCG product

Estimate the revenue and expenses of equipment, Existing machine Purchas...

Existing machine Purchased 3 years ago Cost=22,000 Installation= 3000 Depreciation=3 years using the MACRS - 5 year Recovery schedule Current market value=10,000

Create a histogram of the distribution of total cost values, Synthetic Auto...

Synthetic Auto Insurance is trying to decide how much money to keep in liquid assets to cover insurance claims. In the past, the company held some of the premiums it received in in

What is erp?, Question 1 What is ERP? Question 2 Discuss the Business pr...

Question 1 What is ERP? Question 2 Discuss the Business process mapping in ERP Question 3 Discuss the steps of the BPR method Question 4 Explain why Quality management is

Objective of maintenance management, Objective of Maintenance Management ...

Objective of Maintenance Management 1. Minimizing the loss of productive time because of equipment failure i, e, minimizing idle time of equipment due to break down) 2.

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd