Probability distribution of the net present value, Advanced Statistics

Assignment Help:

Suppose that $4 million is available for investment in three projects.  The probability distribution of the net present value earned from each project depends on how much is invested in each project.  Let It be the random variable denoting the net present value earned by project t.  The distribution of It depends on the amount of money invested in project t, as shown in Table 2 (a zero investment in a project always earns a zero NPV).  Use dynamic programming to determine an investment allocation that maximises the expected NPV obtained from the three investments.

Table

 

Investment (millions)

Probability

Project 1

$1

P(I1 = 2) = 0.6

P(I1 = 4) = 0.3

P(I1 = 5) = 0.1

$2

P(I1 = 4) = 0.5

P(I1 = 6) = 0.3

P(I1 = 8) = 0.2

$3

P(I1 = 6) = 0.4

P(I1 = 7) = 0.5

P(I1= 10) = 0.1

$4

P(I1 = 7) = 0.2

P(I1 = 9) = 0.4

P(I1= 10) = 0.4

Project 2

$1

P(I2 = 1) = 0.5

P(I2 = 2) = 0.4

P(I2 = 4) = 0.1

$2

P(I2 = 3) = 0.4

P(I2 = 5) = 0.4

P(I2 = 6) = 0.2

$3

P(I2 = 4) = 0.3

P(I2 = 6) = 0.3

P(I2 = 8) = 0.4

$4

P(I2 = 3) = 0.4

P(I2 = 8) = 0.3

P(I2 = 9) = 0.3

Project 3

$1

P(I3 = 0) = 0.2

P(I3 = 4) = 0.6

P(I3 = 5) = 0.2

$2

P(I3 = 4) = 0.4

P(I3 = 6) = 0.4

P(I3 = 7) = 0.2

$3

P(I3 = 5) = 0.3

P(I3 = 7) = 0.4

P(I3 = 8) = 0.3

$4

P(I3 = 6) = 0.1

P(I3 = 8) = 0.5

P(I3 = 9) = 0.4


Related Discussions:- Probability distribution of the net present value

Bivariate boxplot, Bivariate boxplot : A bivariate analogue of boxplot in w...

Bivariate boxplot : A bivariate analogue of boxplot in which the inner area contains 50%of the data, and a 'fence' helps to identify the potential outliers. Robust methods or techn

Pie chart, Pie chart is an extensively used graphical technique for presen...

Pie chart is an extensively used graphical technique for presenting relative frequencies related with the observed values of the categorical variable. The chart comprises of a cir

Explain lie factor, Lie factor : A measure suggested by Tufte for judging t...

Lie factor : A measure suggested by Tufte for judging the honesty of the graphical presentation of data. Which can be calculated as follows   The values close to one are desir

Probabilistic matching, Probabilistic matching is a method developed to ma...

Probabilistic matching is a method developed to maximize the accuracy of the linkage decisions based on the level of agreement and disagreement among the identifiers on different

Drug stability studies, The studies conducted in the pharmaceutical industr...

The studies conducted in the pharmaceutical industry to calculate the degradation of the new drug product or an old drug formulated or packaged in the new manner. The main study ob

Likert scales, Likert scales is often used in the studies of attitudes in ...

Likert scales is often used in the studies of attitudes in which the raw scores are based on the graded alternative responses to each of a series of queries. For instance, the sub

Markov chains.., a shop is selling laptops at regular price and at half pri...

a shop is selling laptops at regular price and at half price.If the laptops are regular price a day they will be at regular price tha day after with proba 2/3, if the laptops are a

Define recurrence risk, Recurrence risk : Usually the probability that an i...

Recurrence risk : Usually the probability that an individual experiences an event of interest given previous experience(s) of the event; for example, the probability of recurrence

Collector''s problem, Collector's problem : A problem which derives from th...

Collector's problem : A problem which derives from the schemes in which packets of a particular brand of coffe, cereal etc., are sold with coupons, cards, or other tokens. There ar

Hazard regression, Hazard regression is the procedure for modeling the haz...

Hazard regression is the procedure for modeling the hazard function which does not depend on the suppositions made in Cox's proportional hazards model, namely that the log-hazard

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd