Point scoring, Advanced Statistics

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Point scoring is an easy distribution free method which can be used for the prediction of a response which is a binary variable from the observations on several explanatory variables which are also binary in nature. The easiest version of the process, often known as the Burgess technique, operates by first taking the explanatory variables one at a time and then determining which level of each variable is related with the higher proportion of 'success' category of the binary response. The prediction score for any of the individual is then just the number of explanatory variables at the high level (generally only variables which are ' significant' are included in the score). The score thus varies from 0, when all explanatory variables are at low level, to its maximum value when all important variables are at the high level. The goal of the technique is to split the population into risk groups.


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