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Renesmee Corporation is a chemical company. The research and development manager is trying to decide whether or not to develop a new solvent that would work at all conditions. It is thought that the solvent project may be a major success with an estimated value of $ 500,000, a moderate success with an estimated value of $200,000 since it can be sold to another company to help with its current project or a total failure. If the project is a failure it will cost the company $450,000.Based on the subjective judgment of the manager, the following probabilities are assigned to the three possibilities. P (major success) = 0.40 P (moderate success) = 0.30 P (failure) = 0.30 a) Construct a decision tree for this problem. What is the optimal decision strategy and its expected value? b) What is the expected value of perfect information? Explain what it means.
What is the goal of optimal mix?
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