Explain decision making under uncertainty, Operation Management

Assignment Help:

Even though independent gasoline stations have been having a difficult time, Susan Helms has been thinking about starting her own independent gasoline station. Susan's problem is to decide how large her station should be. The annual returns will depend on both the size of her station and a number of marketing factors related to the oil industry and demand for gasoline. After a careful analysis, Susan developed the following table:

STATE OF NATURE

Size of First Station GOOD MARKET FAIR MARKET POOR MARKET

Small 40,000 18,000 -8,000

Medium 90,000 27,000 -22,000

Large 105,000 27,500 -36,000

Very Large 320,000 26,000 -180,000

For example, if Susan constructs a small station and the market is good, she will realize a profit of 40,000.

1) Using the decision making under uncertainty with the criterion of Maximax

The appropriate decision will be ___________ (Very large, large, medium or small)

The value of the return under this decision is $_____________

2) Using the decision making under uncertainty with the criterion of Maximin

The appropriate decision will be ___________ (Very large, large, medium or small)

The value of the return under this decision is $_____________

3) Using the decision making under uncertainty with the criterion of Equally Likely

The appropriate decision will be ___________ (Very large, large, medium or small)

The value of the return under this decision is $_____________


Related Discussions:- Explain decision making under uncertainty

Explain how technology can help your suggestions, Come up with 3 businesses...

Come up with 3 businesses that do not need technology to compete, and then demonstrate how technology can help your suggestions be more successful. For example - a hot dog stand. F

Explain what is the relationship group cohesiveness, Within and organizatio...

Within and organization, give an example of a formal group and an informal group. What is the relationship group cohesiveness and effectiveness? When might a highly cohesive group

Define how each it project supports bill''s umuc pizza, Explain how each IT...

Explain how each IT project listed above specifically improves and/or supports Bill's UMUC Pizza business

Explain would you want to manage an ikea store, Would you want to manage an...

Would you want to manage an IKEA store? Why or why not?

Explain dual chains of command can create more problems, Some people argue ...

Some people argue that the matrix structure should be adopted only as a last resort because the dual chains of command can create more problems than they solve. Discuss. Do you agr

Explain industrial relations, Explain Industrial Relations. Industrial...

Explain Industrial Relations. Industrial Relations: it is that aspect of management that deals with the manpower of the enterprises where machine operators, skilled managers

Explain labour practices requirements, From the legal perspective, what cha...

From the legal perspective, what challenges May supervisors face in filling the positions? How might they unintentionally run short of regulatory hiring and labour practices requir

Explain effectiveness change as an organization grows, The __________ _____...

The __________ ____________ ___________ approach to success suggests that measures of effectiveness change as an organization grows. Answer

Determine the formula of the economic order quantity, Determine the formula...

Determine the formula of the Economic Order Quantity. The formula for Economic Order Quantity (EOQ): EOQ = √((2x C O x D)/(C H ) Here D = Annual demand (units)

What is utility of optimised production technology, Q. What is utility of o...

Q. What is utility of optimised production technology to manufacturing operations? Optimised production technology (OPT) optimises the employ of ‘bottleneck resources' (restric

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd