expected monetary value, Advanced Statistics

Assignment Help:
Ask quesoil company is considering whether or not to bid for an offshore drilling contract. If they bid, the value would be $600m with a 65% chance of gaining the contract. The company may set up a new drilling operation or move its already existing operation, which has proved successful to the new site. The probability of success and expected returns (in $m) are as follows:
outcome New operation Existing operation
Probability Expected return Probability Expected return
Success 0.75 800 0.85 700
Failure 0.25 200 0.15 350

If the company does not bid or lose the contract, they can use the $600m to modernise their operations. This would result in a return of either 5% or 10% on the sum invested with probabilities 0.45 and 0.55 respectively.
With the aid of a decision tree, prepare a detailed quantitative report advising the company on the best course of action.

tion #Minimum 100 words accepted#

Related Discussions:- expected monetary value

Em algorithm, The method or technique for producing the sequence of paramet...

The method or technique for producing the sequence of parameter estimates that, under the mild regularity conditions, converges to maximum likelihood estimator. Of particular signi

Describe population pyramid, Population pyramid : The diagram designed to s...

Population pyramid : The diagram designed to show the comparison of the human population by sex and age at a given instant time, consisting of a pair of the histograms, one for eve

Glim, Glim is the software package specifically suited for fitting the gen...

Glim is the software package specifically suited for fitting the generalized linear models (the acronym stands for the Generalized Linear Interactive Modelling), including the log

Graph theory, Why Graph theory? It is the branch of mathematics concerned w...

Why Graph theory? It is the branch of mathematics concerned with the properties of sets of points (vertices or nodes) some of which are connected by the lines known as the edges. A

Fractional factorial design, Designs in which the information on main effec...

Designs in which the information on main effects and low-order inter- actions are attained by running only the fraction of the complete factorial experiment and supposing that part

Completeness, Completeness : A term applied to a statistic t when there is ...

Completeness : A term applied to a statistic t when there is only one function of that the statistic which can have the given expected value. If, for instance, the one function of

Geographical analysis machine, Geographical analysis machine is the proced...

Geographical analysis machine is the procedure designed to detect the clusters of rare diseases in a particular area. Circles of fixed radii are created at each point of the squar

Back-projection, Back-projection: A term most often applied to the procedu...

Back-projection: A term most often applied to the procedure for reconstructing plausible HIV incidence curves from the AIDS incidence data. The method or technique assumes that th

Lipstick Dilemma, For a career woman, wearing lipstick has become an integr...

For a career woman, wearing lipstick has become an integral part of her daily life. It is not unusual for a woman to look for a lipstick that will stay on her lips and not smudge o

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd