expected monetary value, Advanced Statistics

Assignment Help:
Ask quesoil company is considering whether or not to bid for an offshore drilling contract. If they bid, the value would be $600m with a 65% chance of gaining the contract. The company may set up a new drilling operation or move its already existing operation, which has proved successful to the new site. The probability of success and expected returns (in $m) are as follows:
outcome New operation Existing operation
Probability Expected return Probability Expected return
Success 0.75 800 0.85 700
Failure 0.25 200 0.15 350

If the company does not bid or lose the contract, they can use the $600m to modernise their operations. This would result in a return of either 5% or 10% on the sum invested with probabilities 0.45 and 0.55 respectively.
With the aid of a decision tree, prepare a detailed quantitative report advising the company on the best course of action.

tion #Minimum 100 words accepted#

Related Discussions:- expected monetary value

Chi-squared distribution, Chi-squared distribution : It is the probability ...

Chi-squared distribution : It is the probability distribution, f (x), of the random variable de?ned as the sum of squares of the number (v) of independent standard normal variables

Graphics., how to calculate the semi average method when 8 observations are...

how to calculate the semi average method when 8 observations are given?

Gauss markov theorem, This is the theorem which states that if the error te...

This is the theorem which states that if the error terms in a multiple regression have the same variance and are not corrected, then the estimators of the parameters in the model p

Exploratory data analysis, The approach to data analysis which emphasizes t...

The approach to data analysis which emphasizes the use of informal graphical procedures not based on former assumptions about structure of the data or on the formal models for the

Explain literature controls, Literature controls : The patients with the di...

Literature controls : The patients with the disease of interest who have received, in the past, one of two treatments under the investigation, and for whom the results have been pu

Graph theory, Why Graph theory? It is the branch of mathematics concerned w...

Why Graph theory? It is the branch of mathematics concerned with the properties of sets of points (vertices or nodes) some of which are connected by the lines known as the edges. A

Explain median absolute deviation (mad), Median absolute deviation (MAD) : ...

Median absolute deviation (MAD) : It is the very robust estimator of the scale given by the following equation   or, in other words we can say that, the median of the absolute

Define Geo statistics, Geo statistics: The body of methods useful for unde...

Geo statistics: The body of methods useful for understanding and modelling spatial variability in a course of interest. Central to these techniques is the idea that measurements t

Describe hello-goodbye effect., Hello-goodbye effect : The phenomenon initi...

Hello-goodbye effect : The phenomenon initially described in psychotherapy research, but one which might arise whenever a subject is assessed on two occasions, with some interventi

Regression, regression line drawn as Y=C+1075x, when x was 2, and y was 239...

regression line drawn as Y=C+1075x, when x was 2, and y was 239, given that y intercept was 11. calculate the residual

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd