expected monetary value, Advanced Statistics

Assignment Help:
Ask quesoil company is considering whether or not to bid for an offshore drilling contract. If they bid, the value would be $600m with a 65% chance of gaining the contract. The company may set up a new drilling operation or move its already existing operation, which has proved successful to the new site. The probability of success and expected returns (in $m) are as follows:
outcome New operation Existing operation
Probability Expected return Probability Expected return
Success 0.75 800 0.85 700
Failure 0.25 200 0.15 350

If the company does not bid or lose the contract, they can use the $600m to modernise their operations. This would result in a return of either 5% or 10% on the sum invested with probabilities 0.45 and 0.55 respectively.
With the aid of a decision tree, prepare a detailed quantitative report advising the company on the best course of action.

tion #Minimum 100 words accepted#

Related Discussions:- expected monetary value

Cumulative frequency distribution, The tabulation of a sample of observatio...

The tabulation of a sample of observations in terms of numbers falling below particular values. The empirical equivalent of the growing probability distribution. An example of such

Solve this, An analyst counted 17 A/B runs and 26 time series observations....

An analyst counted 17 A/B runs and 26 time series observations. Do these results suggest that the data are nonrandom? Explain

Dummy variable, Discuss the use of dummy variables in both multiple linear ...

Discuss the use of dummy variables in both multiple linear regression and non-linear regression. Give examples if possible

Homework help, Q1: The growth in bad debt expense for Aptara Pvt. Ltd. Comp...

Q1: The growth in bad debt expense for Aptara Pvt. Ltd. Company over the last 20 years is as follows. 1997 0.11 1998 0.09 1999 0.08 2000 0.08 2001 0.1 2002 0.11 2003 0.12 2004 0.1

Classification matrix, Classification matrix: A term many times used in di...

Classification matrix: A term many times used in discriminant analysis for the matrix summarizing the results and outputs obtained from the derived classi?cation rule, and obtaine

Explain kendall''s tau statistics, Kendall's tau statistics : The measures ...

Kendall's tau statistics : The measures of the correlation between the two sets of rankings. Kendall's tau itself (τ) is the rank correlation coefficient based on number of inversi

Explain post stratification adjustment, Post stratification adjustmen t: On...

Post stratification adjustmen t: One of the most often used population weighting adjustments used in the complex surveys, in which weights for the elements in a class are multiplie

Percentage, Looking for the correct answer.Y=50+.079(149)-.261(214)=

Looking for the correct answer.Y=50+.079(149)-.261(214)=

Random allocation, Random allocation is a technique for creating the treat...

Random allocation is a technique for creating the treatment and control groups particularly in accordance of the clinical trial. Subjects receive the active treatment or the place

Density estimation, Procedures for estimating the probability distributions...

Procedures for estimating the probability distributions without supposing any particular functional form. Constructing the histogram is perhaps the easiest example of such type of

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd