Decision tree analysis applied to capacity expansion, Operation Management

Assignment Help:

Decision Tree Analysis Applied to Capacity Expansion

Linear programming and computer simulation models focus on the short term question of how to use existing capacity. But the planner alsofaces long terms decisions. One such decision has to do with capacity expansion. One technique for analysis this and other sequential decisions is decisions tree analysis.
 Decision tree analysis comprises the followings steps:

A.Tree Diagramming

  1. Identify all decisions points and the order s(sequence ) in which they occur.
  2. Identify alternative decisions for each decision point.
  3. Identify the change events that can occur after each decisions]
  4. Develop a tree diagram showing the sequence of decisions and change event

B.Estimation

  1. Estimate the probability for each possible outcome of each change event.
  2. Estimate the financial consequence of each possible outcome and decisions alternative .

C.Evaluation and Selection

  1. Calculate the expected valued of each decisions alternative
  2. Select the decisions alternative offering the most attractive expected value.

Related Discussions:- Decision tree analysis applied to capacity expansion

Explain process of designing a database, We are agree that the user should ...

We are agree that the user should be involved in the design of the database. Class, how would you go about the process of designing a database? What processes are involved?

Explain erp implementation by cisco, 1. What can top managers do to maximiz...

1. What can top managers do to maximize chances for success here? 2. Cisco went live with ERP in a big bang fashion, which is inherently risky. How did Cisco mitigate this risk?

Factor for plant location choice - availability of transport, Factor for pl...

Factor for plant Location choice - Availability of Transport There are five basic modes of physical transportation air road rail water and pipeline. Goods intended for export

Explain training programs relate to the company''s business, How do Loews' ...

How do Loews' training programs relate to the company's business strategy?

Develop an operations strategy for an organisation, How do you develop an o...

How do you develop an operations strategy for an organisation? Answer: There are many different procedures recommended by academics and individual consultancy companies. The mor

Explain what could go wrong as a result, Imagine the worst possible reports...

Imagine the worst possible reports from a system. What is wrong with them? List as many problems as you can. What are the consequences of such reports? What could go wrong as a res

Determine factors creating competitive strategy of business, Determine the ...

Determine the factors that should be evaluated when creating competitive strategy of a business. For each factor, indicate its significance. Provide support for your answer. Evalua

Explain monetary cost a training project, Operations managers will always w...

Operations managers will always want to know the monetary cost a training project will be. Stating the intrinsic value is important as part of the return, but how would it make or

Control charts for variables, Control Charts for Variables  Two comple...

Control Charts for Variables  Two complementary charts are commonly used for the statistical control of process variables. One controls the process mean by monitoring the mean

Explain planning of the project, You have been appointed as a project manag...

You have been appointed as a project manager for a high dollar project for the private sector and you have been asked by your boss to identify the stakeholder groups and the indivi

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd