Decision tree analysis applied to capacity expansion, Operation Management

Assignment Help:

Decision Tree Analysis Applied to Capacity Expansion

Linear programming and computer simulation models focus on the short term question of how to use existing capacity. But the planner alsofaces long terms decisions. One such decision has to do with capacity expansion. One technique for analysis this and other sequential decisions is decisions tree analysis.
 Decision tree analysis comprises the followings steps:

A.Tree Diagramming

  1. Identify all decisions points and the order s(sequence ) in which they occur.
  2. Identify alternative decisions for each decision point.
  3. Identify the change events that can occur after each decisions]
  4. Develop a tree diagram showing the sequence of decisions and change event

B.Estimation

  1. Estimate the probability for each possible outcome of each change event.
  2. Estimate the financial consequence of each possible outcome and decisions alternative .

C.Evaluation and Selection

  1. Calculate the expected valued of each decisions alternative
  2. Select the decisions alternative offering the most attractive expected value.

Related Discussions:- Decision tree analysis applied to capacity expansion

Explain in a state where contributory negligence applies, In a state where ...

In a state where contributory negligence applies, a motorist that is about 10% responsible for a collision with another motorist, who sues the other motorist for negligence, will l

Managing organizational change, Applying models and concepts from the cours...

Applying models and concepts from the course, analyze a significant change initiative you have observed, have been affected by or have had a hand in implementing in your organizati

Provide source of enlightenment to the problem, Assume you are the CFO of A...

Assume you are the CFO of ABC Corporation, a multi-state supplier of janitorial supplies. The CEO as just met with you and "suggested" your job might depend on your ability to hide

Explain technologies to keep the organization competitive, Select an organi...

Select an organization. Who are the stakeholders of your selected organization? How would the stakeholders be affected by the failure of the organization to keep up with new techno

Discuss-incorporation is no longer the special privilege, "...incorporation...

"...incorporation is no longer the special privilege it once was". Discuss this statement. Does it have any impact on businesses (those not incorporated?)

Explain what is the annual number of orders, Office Supreme, Inc., a local ...

Office Supreme, Inc., a local retailer of office supplies, faces demand for one of its inventory items at a constant rate of 240,000 units per year. It costs Office Supreme $38 to

What is reliability is decriminator in cost of gps receivers, The DAGR GPS ...

The DAGR GPS receiver will have a 25% increase inreliability over the PLGR GPS receiver. Using the PLGR as an analogy, an analyst estimated that the DAGR would cost 25% more than t

Traditional approach, compare between traditional and value driven approach...

compare between traditional and value driven approach

Explain how much would he receive under the incentive plan, Fulton Enterpri...

Fulton Enterprises is trying to determine standard production per day for an incentive program. Suppose that the incentive program will pay $1 per unit produced above standard rate

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd