Write the estimated multiple regression

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Reference no: EM13868220

Problem 4.Consider the following time series data representing quarterly sales of dishwashers at Big Boys Appliances over the past two years:

 

Time

Sales

2010 Quarter 1

25

2010 Quarter 2

85

2010 Quarter 3

64

2010 Quarter 4

30

2011 Quarter 1

70

2011 Quarter 2

125

2011 Quarter 3

105

2011 Quarter 4

90

The scatter plot of the data above shows seasonality with trend. Hence, a multiple regression model is run to forecast the demand. We denote sales (Y) as the depend variable, and denote time (t, with t=1 represent the first quarter of 2010) and dummy variables (S1, S2, and S3) as independent variables. Here, we choose quarter 4 as the baseline and adopt three seasonality dummy variables, such that S1=1 represents quarter 1, S2=1 represents quarter 2, and S3=1 represents quarter 3. Answer the following questions. Use α=0.05.

 

  1. (5 points) Use the above variable definition to code the data above.

Time

Sales(Y)

Time (t)

S1

S2

S3

2010 Quarter 1

25

1




2010 Quarter 2

85

2




2010 Quarter 3

64

3




2010 Quarter 4

30

4




2011 Quarter 1

70

5




2011 Quarter 2

125

6




2011 Quarter 3

105

7




2011 Quarter 4

90

8




 

  1.  Copy all data into Excel and run the corresponding multiple regression. Write the estimated multiple regression equation use the variables defined above. (Hint: No need to conduct backwards elimination at this point.)

 

  1.  Explain the meaning of the slopes for seasonally dummy variable S1, S2, and S3. (Note: Use actual variable name and numbers to answer the questions. Put numbers in the right context.)

  1.  Test the overall fitness of the model. (State the hypotheses, and use Significant F to complete your test, use short version of 7 steps.)

Which variables in the current regression model are significant? And which are not significant? Justify your answer. (short version of 7 steps) 

Reference no: EM13868220

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