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As you can see in the following table, demand for heart transplant surgery at Washington General Hospital has increased steadily in the past few years:
YEAR
1
2
3
4
5
6
HEART TRANPLANTS
45
50
52
56
58
7
The director of medical services predicted 6 years ago that demand in year 1 would be 41 surgeries.
a) Use exponential smoothing, first with a smoothing constant of .6 and then with one of .9, to develop forecasts for years 2 through 6.
b) Use a 3-year moving average to forecast demand in years 4, 5, and 6.
c) Use the trend-projection method to forecast demand in years 1 through 6.
d) With MAD as the criterion, which of the four forecasting methods is best?
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the task of top executives when the company faces disruptive changes in its environment is to not only raise questions about the appropriateness of its direction and strategy but also to:
Based on the knowledge you have gained through the readings in this module, answer the Module Review Questions listed below. These questions were chosen to enable you to classify the three categories of maintenance checks , describe the functions of ..
“Forecasting is difficult. Especially forecasting the future.” – attributed to various sources including Mark Twain and Yogi Berra. The Global Supply Chain Management simulation demonstrated the challenge of deriving a useable demand forecast. Given ..
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