What is the probability that you have swine flu

Assignment Help Operation Management
Reference no: EM132214837

You go to see the doctor about an ingrown toenail. The doctor selects you at random to have a blood test for swine flu, which for the purposes of this exercise we will say is currently suspected to affect 1 in 10,000 people in America. The test is 99% accurate, in the sense that the probability of a false positive is 1%. The probability of a false negative is zero. You test positive.

a) What is the probability of receiving a positive test? 

b) What is the probability that you have swine flu?

c) Now imagine that you went to a friend’s wedding in Mexico recently, and (for the purposes of this exercise) it is know that 1 in 200 people who visited Mexico recently come back with swine flu. Given the same test result as above, what should your revised estimate be for the probability you have the disease?

Reference no: EM132214837

Questions Cloud

Coca-cola is well-established consumer products : Coca-Cola is a well-established consumer products company with a strong position in the global market.
Discuss the possible causes of the financial crisis : FIN200 Assignment - Discuss the possible causes of the financial crisis. Do you think GFC could be repeated again? Discuss
About letting the market handle the issues : What would Christopher Stone say about letting the market handle the issues?
Describe the team leadership model : Describe the Team Leadership Model and how this relates to your current business practices.
What is the probability that you have swine flu : You go to see the doctor about an ingrown toenail. What is the probability of receiving a positive test? What is the probability that you have swine flu?
How cornings strategies meet the standards of continual : Discuss the impact of leadership on improving and increasing the quality and performance excellence at Corning.
Did recent tobacco reform change the cigarette market : Davidson and De Silva (2018) have written a recent article entitled as “Did Recent Tobacco Reform change the Cigarette market”
Analyze the organizational quality approach differences : Analyze the organizational quality approach differences that occur between the manufacturing and service industries.
Explain the importance of a code of ethic : Explain the importance of a Code of Ethic. What organization and how management should use and implement the code to ensure an ethical workplace?

Reviews

Write a Review

Operation Management Questions & Answers

  Book review - the goal

Operations Management is about a book review. Title of the book is "Goal". This book has been written by Dr. Eliyahu Goldartt. The book has been appreciated by many as one of those books which offers an insight into the operations and strategic capac..

  Operational plan in hospitality enterprise

Operational plan pertaining to a hospitality enterprise is given in detail in the solution. The operational plan is an important plan or preparation which gives guidelines regarding the role and responsibilities of each and every operation at all lev..

  Managing operations and information

Recognise the importance of a strategic approach to the development and deployment of organisational information systems. Demonstrate an understanding of the importance of databases and their integration to the organisation's overall information mana..

  A make-or-buy analysis

An analysis of the holding costs, including the appropriate annual holding cost rate.

  Evolution and contributor of operations management

Briefly explain Evolution and contributor of Operations management.

  Functions and responsibilities of an operations manager

A number of drivers of change have transformed the roles, functions and responsibilities of an operations manager over recent years. These drivers have not only been based on technological innovations but also on the need for organisations to develop..

  Compute the optimal order quantity

Compute the Optimal Order quantity of DVD players. Determine the appropriate reorder point.

  Relationship to operations practice in the organisation

Evaluate problems in operations and identify approaches to overcoming them. Critically evaluate operating plans and identify areas for improvement. Justify, implement and evaluate changes to operations in line with modern approaches.

  A make or buy analysis

Develop a report for Figi Fabricating that will address the question of whether the company should continue to purchase the part from the supplier or begin to produce the part itself.

  Prepare a staffing plan

Prepare a staffing plan showing the change of your unit from medical/surgical staffing to oncology staffing.

  Leadership styles in different organizations

Ccompare the effectiveness of different leadership styles in different organizations

  Risk management tools and models

Be able to understand the concept of risk, roles and responsibilities for risk management and risk management tools and models.

Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd