What is the market price of risk

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1) Compare the interest rate risk of a noncallable 10-year Treasury coupon bearing bond with a mortgage-backed pass-through security with prepayments related to the level of interest rates - lower market interest rates raise the rate of prepayments.

Discuss how the changes in cash flows, arising from prepayments, on a mortgage-backed security affect the duration of such securities. HINT: consider the coupon effect on duration.

Macaulay Duration Measure:

DM = ∂P/∂y (1 + y)/P, For a coupon - bearing bond: Dm = (t=1ΣMtC/(1 + y)t + MF/(1 + y)M) / ( t=1ΣMC/(1 + y)t + F/(1 + y)M)

A more complete approximation to the proportional change in price of a bond with respect to a change in yield to maturity takes into account the convexity of the price-yield relationship for the bond:

dP/P = ∂P/∂y. 1/Pdy + 1/2 ∂2P/∂2y 1/P dy2

where P = Price, C = coupon, F = Face value, y = Yield to maturity, M = maturity (years), t = time (year), dP is the total change in price, and is the partial change in price with respect to a change in yield to maturity. The second term, excluding the dy2, is the convexity effect.

2) Data on weekly stock prices for Microsoft Corporation, Exxon Mobil Corporation and the S&P 500 Index were used to compute the following historical volatility and expected return. Using these results, answer the following questions:

The historical returns volatility (standard deviation of returns) at an annualized rate for each stock are: MSFT= 0.182, XOM= 0.120 and S&P500 = 0.108. The expected return for each stock and the index at an annual rate for MSFT, XOM and S&P500 is respectively:

                                                                                                                        0.136    0.308    0.105

a. Using the computed β (beta) of 0.997 for MSFT and 0.508 for XOMand expected return for each stock and the S&P 500 index over the past year, draw the Securities Market Line (SML) using a risk-free rate of 5.37 percent based on the 3-month Libor rate at the time. Do each of the stocks fall on the SML? Analyze their relative position and which stock is the best buy and why.

HINT: Use the average return of the S&P 500 stock index provided above as the expected return for the market.

b. Using the data in above and in a. and assuming the average return on the S&P 500 index is a representation of market expected return and risk, compute the slope of the Capital Market Line (CML) when the risk-free rate is approximated by the Libor rate given in a. From your results, what is the market price of risk?

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In the solution depicted a SML plot for ready reference. However, in the present case, the SML line could not be drawn because of the negative market rate of return. Anyways, by analysing their relative position, MSFT would be comparatively a better stock to buy.

Reference no: EM131003284

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