What is the kings first order belief

Reference no: EM131332808

Joshua and his army are planning to circle Jericho seven times. Will the wall come tumbling down? The king of Jericho reports that:

I ascribe probability 0.8 to "the wall of the city will fall, and Joshua ascribes probability 0.6 to the wall falling."
I ascribe probability 0.2 to "the wall of the city will not fall, and Joshua ascribes probability 0.5 to the wall falling."

Answer the following questions:

(a) What is the set of states of nature corresponding to the above description.

(b) What is the king's first-order belief? What is his second-order belief?

Reference no: EM131332808

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