What is the expected value under perfect information

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A plant manager is considering buying additional stamping machines to accommodate increasing demand. The alternatives are to buy 1 machine, 2 machines, or 3 machines. The profits realized under each alternative are a function of whether their bid for a recent defense contract is accepted or not. The payoff table below illustrates the profits realized (in $000's) based on the different scenarios faced by the manager. Alternative Bid Accepted Bid Rejected Buy 1 machine $10 $5 Buy 2 machines $30 $4 Buy 3 machines $40 $2 Refer to the information above. Assume that based on historical bids with the defense contractor, the plant manager believes that there is a 65% chance that the bid will be accepted and a 35% chance that the bid will be rejected. What is the expected value under perfect information (EVPI)?

Reference no: EM131138148

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