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Two independent methods of forecasting based on judgment and experience have been prepared each month for the past 10 months. The forecasts and actual sales are as follows:
WORKING AREA FORMODEL 1 MODEL 2 MODEL 3Month Sales F1 F2 F31 770 771 769 7742 789 785 7873 794 790 7924 780 784 7985 768 770 7746 772 768 7707 760 761 7598 775 771 7759 786 784 78810 790 788 788Performance MeasurementsCFEMADMSE
What are the 2s control limits for the third model? Plot the error terms. What is your conclusion about the forecasting model?
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