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Use exponential smoothing with a smoothing constant of 2

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Question: The yield on a general obligation bond for the city of Davenport fluctuates withthe market.The monthly quotations for 2006 are given in Table shown below:

Month             Actual Value Y bar

January                9.29
February              9.99
March                  10.16
April                    10.25
May                     10.61
June                    11.07
July                     11.52
August                11.09
September          10.8
October               10.5
November           10.86
December             9.97

Use exponential smoothing with a smoothing constant of .2 and an initial value of 9.29 to forecast the yield for January 2007.

Is this forecast better than the forecast made using the better moving average model? Why? Explain your answer, support with numbers.

Reference no: EM13576641

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