Understand by time series forecasting approach

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(a) What do you understand by a time series forecasting approach? Describe each of the four factors in this approach, and indicate how they are measured or determined. 

(b) The historical demand for a product is as follows:

Month                                                                Demand

January                                                             12

February                                                            11

March                                                                15

April                                                                   12

May                                                                   16

June                                                                  15

Stating any assumptions that you make answer the following questions.

(i) Using a weighted moving average with weights of 0.60 for June; 0.30 for May and 0.10 for April, find the July forecast.

(ii) Using a simple three-month moving average, find the July forecast.

(iii) Using simple exponential smoothing with α=0, 2 and a June forecast of 13 find the July forecast.

Reference no: EM131715872

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