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1. You have received your MBA from Trinity University and been hired by Deutsche Bank as the Executive Vice President of Finance. You negotiated a hefty salary and received a signing bonus, so you are relied upon heavily to make decisions using quantitative methods. Today, you are faced with three investment alternatives with the following payoffs (thousands of dollars).
Economic Conditions
Decision Alternative
Up(s1)
Stable(s2)
Down(s3)
Investment A(d1)
100
25
0
Investment B(d2)
75
50
Investment C(d3)
Probability Assessments
0.70
0.10
0.20
Indifference Probability (p)
Profit
Decision Maker A
Decision Maker B
Decision Maker C
$75,000
0.80
0.60
.90
$50,000
0.30
.70
$25,000
0.15
.50
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