Test for adequacy of an exponential model

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Q1. Consider a random censorship model in which failure time T~ is exponential with failure rate λ and censoring time C is exponential with rate α. Let Ti = T~I ∧ Ci, V = i=1nTi, and D be the number of failures. Show that (V, D) is sufficient for (λ, α). Show further that V and D are independent, that D is binomial with parameters n and λ(λ + α)-1, and that 2(λ + α)V has a χ2 distribution with 2D degrees of freedom. Discuss how inference on λ may be carried out.

Q2. The guaranteed exponential distribution has density function

f(t) = λeλ(t-G),   t > G,

(a) Show that n(T(1) - G), (n - 1)(T(2) - T(1)), (n - 2)(T(3) - T(2)), . . . , (T(n) - T(n-1)) are independent exponentials with failure rate λ and hence determine the joint distribution of U and T(1).

(b) Establish methods for exact, interval estimation of λ and G. (The likelihood ratio statistic gives rise to simple pivotals for these parameters.)

Q3. Let T1, . . . ,Tn and S1, . . . , Sn be uncensored samples from two guaranteed exponential distributions with parameters (λ1, G1) and (λ2, G2), respectively.

(a) Outline a test of the hypothesis λ1 = λ2.

(b) Supposing that λ1 = λ2 = λ is known, develop a test of the hypothesis G1 = G2. For this purpose, show that U = T(1) - S(1) has a double exponential distribution with density

1854_Figure.png

(c) Generalize this to a test of G1 = G2 when λ1 = λ2 = λ but λ is unknown. Verify that this is the likelihood ratio test of this hypothesis.

Q4. Freireich et al. (1963) present the followi.ng remission times in weeks from a clinical trial in acute leukemia:

Placebo:

1,

1,

2,

2,

3,

4,

4,

5,

5,

8,

8,

8,

8,

11,

11,

12,

12,

17,

22,

23

 

 

6-MP:

6,

6,

6,

7,

10,

13,

6,

22,

23,

6+,

9+,

10+,

11+,

17+,

9+,

20+,

25+,

32+,

32+,

34+,

35+

 

(a) Test the hypothesis of equality of remission times in the two groups using Weibull, log-normal, and log-logistic models. Which model appears to fit the data best?

(b) Test for adequacy of an exponential model relative to the Weibull model.

(c) As a graphical check on the suitability of exponential and Weibull models, compute the Kaplan-Meier estimators F(t) of the survivor functions for the two groups. Plot log F(t) versus t and log[-logF(t)] versus log t.

Reference no: EM131309066

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