Research about the illness on-line

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A particular test correctly identifies those with a certain serious disease 94% of the time and correctly diagnoses those without the disease 98% of the time. A male friend has informed you that he has received a positive result and ask your advice on how to interpret these probabilities. Your friend knows nothing about probability but he feels that because the result is accurate, the probability that he has the disease is quite high. Before giving your friend advice, you research about the illness on-line and find that 4% of the men have the disease. With this information how would you advise your friend?

Reference no: EM132388359

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