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Problem: Will you have an accident? The probability that a randomly chosen driver will be involved in an accident in the next year is about 0.2. This is based on the proportion of millions of drivers who have accidents. "Accident" includes things like crumpling a fender in your own driveway, not just highway accidents.
Requirement:
(i) What do you think is your own probability of being in an accident in the next year? This is a personal probability.
(ii) Give some reasons why your personal probability might be a more accurate prediction of your "true chance" of having an accident than the probability for a random driver.
(iii) Almost everyone says their personal probability is lower than the random driver probability. Why do you think this is true?
what are some of the important factors that have brought about the e-global
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The standard deviation of the monthly growth rates will remain 60%. Is the increased investment growth worth the consulting fee?
A real estate agent has collected a random sample of 75 houses that were recently sold in a suburban community. She is particularly interested in comparing the appraised value and recent selling price of the houses in this particular market. The v..
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a coin is tossed repeatedly until either tails appears or heads has appeared four times whichever comes first. find the
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Also give a credible set of highest posterior probability close to 95% for the parameter in question. Plot both the prior and the posterior distributions of the parameter.
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