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A scratch-and-win lottery (§4.2.3)
A scratch-and-win lottery dispenses 10,000 lottery tickets per week in Andorra and ten million in Spain. In both countries, demand exceeds supply. There are two numbers, composed of multiple digits, on every lottery ticket. One of these numbers is visible, and the other is covered by a layer of silver paint. The numbers on the 10,000 Andorran tickets are composed of four digits and the numbers on the ten million Spanish tickets are composed of seven digits. These numbers are randomly distributed over the quantity of lottery tickets, but in such a way that no two tickets display the same open or the same hidden number. The ticket holder wins a large cash prize if the number under the silver paint is revealed to be the same as the unpainted number on the ticket. Do you think the probability of at least one winner in the Andorran Lottery is significantly different from the probability of at least one winner in Spain? What is your estimate of the probability of a win occurring in each of the lotteries?
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