Prepare a forecast of sales for 2010

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Reference no: EM132333686

Interpret and Use Financial Statistics and Tools

Learning Outcomes

On successful completion of this unit, the learner/trainee will be able to;

• Apply statistical methods to work
• Source and interpret statistical data
• Analyse data using appropriate techniques and tools
• Record statistical data analysis results and records

Assessment Task 1: Apply Statistical Methods

Description:

These assessment tasks are given as formative tasks that need to be completed within designated assessment sessions during the academic term.

Trainers/assessors may vary the data for the task for different students. Tasks may be scheduled according to classroom learning sessions and organised over a number of sessions to coincide with the relevant lessons and activities.

1. Below is a table of the selling price of bananas (B) per kilogram in dollars compared with the number sold in of kilograms (N).

B

1.50

1.98

5

6

7

8

9

12

N

250

220

180

200

190

124

67

15

(a) Draw a scatter diagram of the data.
(b) Estimate the degree of correlation

2. Below is a table is data related to hours of use of a photocopier (P) and the hours of maintenance (M).

P

70

55

125

90

140

100

M

6

4

8

6

15

6

(a) Draw a scatter diagram of the data.
(b) Estimate the degree of correlation

3. Using a three-year moving average applied to growth factors, prepare a forecast of sales for 2010.

Year

Sales

1998

23 156

1999

24 569

2000

25 689

2001

30 987

2002

32 176

2003

33 467

2004

35 908

2005

36 809

2006

36 911

2007

39 081

2008

42 164

2009

45 789

2010

49 012

2011

50 324

2012

55 609

2013

60 911

(a) Calculate the revenue growth rate %.
(b) Predict the sales for 2013.
(c) Graph on the same axis the functions.

4. From the given annual report of a sample organisation (ASX listed), calculate;

(a) Liquidity ratios
(b) Profitability ratios
(c) Capital structure analysis ratios
(d) Capital market analysis ratios

5. What is Time Series Analysis? Research and outline key concepts of TSA with appropriate examples.

6. Research and briefly describe role and functions of the following organisations and institutions;

(a) Reserve Bank of Australia
(b) Australian Taxation Office (ATO)
(c) Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS)
(d) National Statistical Service (NSS)
(e) Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC)
(f) Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA)
(g) Industry association data and information
(h) Organisational data and information (public record)
(i) International government and organisation data and information

Ensure that you acknowledge all external sources using an appropriate referencing system (e.g. Harvard Referencing System).

Assessment Task 2: Source and Apply Statistical Data

Description:

This assessment task has two parts. Trainers/assessors may vary the data for the task for different students. Tasks may be scheduled according to classroom learning sessions and organised over a number of sessions to coincide with the relevant lessons and activities.

Part A

1. The following table shows the number of mobile phones females and males owned.

Age

Males

Females

0 < 10

64

90

10 < 20

199

175

20 < 30

365

210

30 < 40

190

255

40 < 50

121

205

50 < 60

43

55

60 < 70

18

10

Calculate the mean, median, mode standard deviation and co-efficient of variation.

2. The monthly charges for using the tolls from two suburbs are:

Cost of toll($)

Dandenong

Frankston

30 < 60

40

10

60 < 90

124

60

90 < 120

192

131

120 < 150

101

122

150 < 180

30

81

180 < 210

7

42

210 < 240

3

28

240 < 270

2

15

270 < 300

1

11

Calculate the mean, median, mode standard deviation and co-efficient of variation

Part B

1. Complete the following tasks using the given data set.

Assets

 

 

$

Cash

200 000

Accounts receivable

400 000

Inventory

1 200 000

Plant

   600 000

Total assets

2 400 000

Liabilities

 

 

$

Accounts payable

800 000

Long-term debt

400 000

Capital

1 200 000

 

2 400 000

Profit and loss

 

Sales

1 600 000

Cost of goods sold

1 000 000

Operating expenses

200 000

Interest

100 000

Taxes

   100 000

Net profit

   200 000

Find the following:
(a) Current ratio
(b) Quick asset ratios
(c) Inventory turnover
(d) Collection period
(e) Fixed asset turnover
(f) Times interest covered
(g) Net profit margin
(h) Return on total assets
(i) Return on capital.

Norts Ltd
Balance sheet Extract

 

 

20XX

20XY

 

 

$

$

Paid up capital ($1 fully paid shares)

200 000 250 000

Retained profits

10 000 15 000

General reserve

    5 000 10 000

 

215 000 275 000

Total liabilities

85 000 125 000

Total Equities

300 000 400 000

Calculate for both years:
(a) Earnings per share
(b) Earnings yield
(c) Dividend yield
(d) Price per earnings ratio.

2. The following data represents sales for 2005 to 2015:

Year

Sales

2005

10 000

2006

11 000

2007

12 000

2008

12 500

2009

16 000

2010

18 000

2011

25 000

2012

40 000

2013

41 000

2014

43 000

2015

50 000

Based on the data,

(a) Plot the data on a graph.
(b) Draw the secular trend line of best fit using semi-average method.
(c) Predict sales for 2019.

Assessment Task 3: Interpret and Analyse Statistical Data

Description:

This assessment task has two parts. Trainers/assessors may vary the data for the task for different students. Tasks may be scheduled according to classroom learning sessions and organised over a number of sessions to coincide with the relevant lessons and activities.

Part A

1. An auto analyst is conducting a satisfaction survey, sampling from a list of 10 000 new car buyers. The list includes 2500 Ford buyers, 2500 GM buyers, 2500 Honda buyers and 2500 Toyota buyers. The analyst selects a sample of 400 car buyers, by randomly sampling 100 buyers of each brand.

Is this an example of a simple random sample?

A. Yes, because each buyer in the sample was randomly sampled.
B. Yes, because each buyer in the sample had an equal chance of being sampled.
C. Yes, because car buyers of every brand were equally represented in the sample.
D. No, because every possible 400-buyer sample did not have an equal chance of being chosen.
E. No, because the population consisted of purchasers of four different brands of car.

Briefly explain your answer.

2. Draw a scatter diagram for the following:

(a) y = 2x + 3 using the values for x -3,0,3
(b) y = 4x - 2 using the values for x 1,2,6,8

3. Draw a bar graph using the equation y = 4x - 2 and the values 1,2,3,4.

4. Represent the following information as a pictogram.

Age Purchase of trees
10-20 6
20-30 12
30-40 15
40-50 3
50-60 2

5. Briefly explain how you will validate statistical data in an organisational setting. What steps would you take to ensure data security and access given the confidential nature of statistical data?

Part B

1. The data below shows the amount of coffees bought by a class of students in a week.

3 0

2

4

0

3

0

0

0

1

3

1

2

1

1

1

5

2

1

3

1

1

2

2

3

4

2

2

2

2

3

3

3

2

2

2

4

2

2

5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Required:
(a) Draw a frequency table.
(b) Draw a histogram.

2. You are given the following data:

2  1  1  2  1  1  3  1  2  1  0

1  1  3  2  1  4  1  1  1  0  2

Required:
(a) Draw a histogram.
(b) Draw a frequency table.
(c) Draw a frequency polygon.

3. Calculate the mean and standard deviation for the following data:

100<120 4
120<140 6
140<160 9
160<180 12
180<200 15
200<220 9
220<240 10

4. Calculate the mean and standard deviation for the following data.

50 < 60 7
60 < 70 12
70 < 80 26
80 < 90 4
90 < 100 31
100 < 110 15
110 < 120 22

Reference no: EM132333686

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Reviews

len2333686

7/5/2019 2:12:49 AM

Assessment Criteria The following assessment criteria will be used for marking this assessment task. Ensure that you have addressed all of the criteria in your work. ? Used appropriate data sets and statistics for calculations as required ? Complete all the given tasks ? Completed the task within a designated assessment session in presence of an assessor ? Used appropriate formulas and accurately calculated the ratios from the given financial information ? Used tables, graphs and/or charts to illustrate the data where needed ? Diagrams/graphs are appropriately labelled and coded to illustrate the data ? Data is clear, distinguishable and appropriately labelled for identification ? The answers are consistent with the model answers

len2333686

7/5/2019 2:12:35 AM

The following assessment criteria will be used for marking this assessment task. Ensure that you have addressed all of the criteria in your work. ? Used appropriate data sets and statistics for calculations as required ? Complete all the given tasks ? Completed the task within a designated assessment session in presence of an assessor ? Accurately calculated measures of central tendency (Mean, median and mode) of mobile phone users and their monthly charges ? Accurately calculated standard deviation and co-efficient of variation from the measures of central tendency ? Used tables, graphs and/or charts to illustrate the data where needed ? Diagrams/histogram are appropriately labelled and coded to illustrate the data ? Data is clear, distinguishable and appropriately labelled for identification ? Described data validation techniques and processes to ensure accuracy and consistency with industry and organisational standards

len2333686

7/5/2019 2:12:11 AM

Assessments for this unit have been developed by taking into account assessment guidelines as provided in the training package and evidence requirements stipulated in this unit of competency. Assessment is an ongoing process of gathering evidence to determine what each student/learner knows, understands and can do in order to inform teaching and support learning of the intended curriculum. The purposes of this assessment are; ? To collect evidences that demonstrate competency in the performance criteria of the unit and satisfy skill, knowledge and employability skills requirements ? To provide feedback to the learners/trainees indicating the areas of improvement and professional development ? To measure the effectiveness of the delivery plan and evaluate the learning outcomes

len2333686

7/5/2019 2:11:59 AM

Lesson Topics Activities 1-2 Unit Outline, assessment plan and information, assessment conditions Key concepts and definitions Harvard Referencing Systems: Guidelines and examples Introduction to Statistical methods: Linear and nonlinear regression, multivariate analysis, time series analysis, moving averages Statistical standards: Definitions, Statistical units, Classifications, coding processes Descriptive statistics, inferential statistics Data and information sources Practical exercises: Using mathematical and statistical formulas: Discuss their use Research and examples: Statistical ratios and analysis tools

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