It is estimated that this research has a 80 chance of

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The prior probability indicates that there is 50% probability that gold will be found in quantities that would justify an mine in the region. Further research is carried out, and this subsequent research suggests that viable quantities of gold will be found. It is estimated that this research has a 80% chance of giving a correct indication. Revise the geologist's prior probability in light of the research results.

Reference no: EM13627278

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