Forecasting the sales for months april-december

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Month sales (million) jan. 10feb. 12march 14april 16

may 18

june 23

july 26

aug. 31

sept. 27

oct. 18

nov. 16

dec. 14

A. Use a three-weighted moving average to forecast the sales for months April-December. Use weights (3/6), (2/6), (1/6) giving more weight to more recent data

B. Use exponential smoothing with x= 0.30 to forecast the sales for months April- December. The forecast for January was 12million .

C. Compare the performance of the two methods by using the bias and MAD as the performance criteria. Which performance method is the most reasonable? why?

Reference no: EM132851236

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