Find the weekly quantities demanded by the retailer

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Reference no: EM131942316

A retail home supply chain forecasts the following sales of wheelbarrows over the upcoming 8 weeks. It will purchase them from a wholesale firm, which in turn will buy them from a manufacturer.

Each firm's inventory policy is to maintain a safety stock (ending inventory) equal to its most recent week's demand.

Assume each firm begins with 400 units of starting inventory.

Week

Retail Sales Qdr

1

400

2

390

3

450

4

510

5

610

6

470

7

420

8

410

a. Find the weekly quantities demanded by the retailer from the wholesaler (Qdw), and by the wholesaler from the manufacturer (Qdm).    Assume each firm starts in week 1 with a beginning inventory of 400 units.

b. Did either the retailer or the wholesaler have excess inventory, and if so, how much and in what week(s)?

c. Find the mean, standard dev. and coefficient of variation for Qdr, Qdw and Qdm. What do you conclude about the variability of demand for these firms?   What is this pattern called?

d. Briefly explain how the bullwhip effect relates to an industry's inventory/sales ratio. You can use our numerical example above as an illustration.

What is the likely cause of the pattern that you see here?

As of the most recent date shown, (Dec 2016 on the day I looked) what is the current (seasonally adjusted) inventory/sales ratio for these 4 categories of goods: 441 Motor Vehicles, 442,3 Furniture (and related items); 445 Food and Beverage stores; and 448 Clothing?   Why do you think these ratios differ by industry?

NAICS
Code

Kind of Business

Sales

Inventorie

Percent Change
In Inventories

Inventories/Sales
Ratios

Dec. 2016
ID)

Nov. 2016
(0

Dec. 2015
(r)

Dec. 2016
U0

Nov. 2016
(0

Dec. 2015
(r)

Dec. 16/
Nov. 16

Nov. 16/
Oct. 16

Dec. 16/
Dec. 15

Dec. 16
(o)

Nov. 16

(r)

Dn. 15

(I)

 

Adjusted'

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Retail trade. total............................................

415.242

410.174

396.893

609.010

608.687

588.432

0.1

0.9

3.5

1.47

1.48

1.48

 

Total (excl. motor veh. & parts)........................

315.891

313.906

304.346

395.719

394.198

390.279

0.4

0.5

1.4

1.25

1.26

1.28

441

Motor vehicle di parts dealers..................................

99.351

96.268

92.547

213.291

214.489

198.153

-0.6

1.6

7.6

2.15

2.23

2.14

442.3

Furniture.home furn.. elect. di appl. stores................

17.222

17.390

17.458

26.795

26.883

27.352

-0.3

0.1

-2.0

1.56

1.55

1.57

444

Budding materials, garden equip & supplies.............

30.198

29.838

29.201

54.944

54.770

52.392

0.3

1.0

4.9

1.82

1.84

1.79

445

Food & beverage stores........................................

59.249

59.379

57.848

46.225

45.866

44.920

0.8

0.4

2.9

0.78

0.77

0.78

448

Clothing di clothing access. stores............................

21.481

21.458

21.224

54.209

54.050

53.765

0.3

0.8

0.8

2.52

2.52

2.53

452

General merchandise stores...................................

55.300

55.522

56.821

80.809

80.629

82.378

0.2

0.3

-1.9

1.46

1.45

1.45

4521

Dept. strs. (excl. leased depts.)..........................

12.591

12.665

13.754

26.997

26.955

28.567

0.2

-0.1

-5.5

2.14

2.13

2.08

 

Not Adjusted

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Retail trade. total..............................................

484.678

415.243

463.668

602.475

640.946

581.931

-6.0

1.7

3.5

1.24

1.54

1.26

 

Total (excl. motor veh. di parts)........................

385.105

326.439

371.352

386.537

422.579

380.982

-8.5

1.0

1.5

1.00

1.29

1.03

441

Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................................

99.573

88.804

92.316

215.938

218.367

200.949

-1.1

3.1

7.5

2.17

2.46

2.18

442.3

Furniture.home furn.. elect. & appl. stores................

23.334

19.876

23.695

27.036

30.754

27.626

-12.1

5.6

-2.1

1.16

1.55

1.17

444

Building materials, garden equip di supplies...............

27.522

29.053

27.044

52.032

53.072

49.615

-2.0

-0.8

4.9

1.89

1.83

1.83

445

Food & beverage stores........................................

65.048

59.290

62.673

46.867

48.071

45.558

-2.5

1.8

2.9

0.72

0.81

0.73

448

Clothing & clothing access. stores............................

34.333

23.438

33.123

51.119

58.320

50.647

-12.3

0.5

0.9

1.49

2.49

1.53

452

General merchandise stores...................................

75.135

60.535

76.391

77.439

91.171

78.928

-15.1

0.3

-1.9

1.03

1.51

1.03

4521

Dept. strs. (excl. leased depts.)..........................

21.687

15.210

23.425

25.188

31.915

26.624

-21.1

-1.7

-5.4

1.16

2.10

1.14

Reference no: EM131942316

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