Estimation of evpi

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Reference no: EM13105260

The following is a payoff table giving profits for various situations.

States of Nature

Alternatives A B C
Alternative 1 100 120 180
Alternative 2 120 140 120
Alternative 3 200 100 50
Do Nothing 0 0 0

The probabilities for states of nature A, B, and C are 0.3, 0.5, and 0.2, respectively.

  1. what are the expected values for each alternative?
  2. What decision should be made under expected value?
  3. What is the EVPI?

 

 

Reference no: EM13105260

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