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Resolve Problem with α = .1 and β = .8. Using MSE, determine which smoothing constants provide a better forecast.
Problem - Income at the architectural firm Spraggins and Yunes for the period February to July was as follows:
MONTH
FEBUARY
MARCH
APRIL
MAY
JUNE
JULY
Income (in $ thousand)
70.0
68.5
64.8
71.7
71.3
72.8
Use trend-adjusted exponential smoothing to forecast the firm's August income. Assume that the initial forecast average for February is $65,000 and the initial trend adjustment is 0. The smoothing constants selected are α = .1 and β = .2.
New Employee Orientation.
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