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Mark is looking at the forecasts of expected economic growth. He plans to invest $120,000 in an investment whose return would depend on the economic conditions. It is estimated that the economy will have a high growth with a probability of 25%, normal growth with a probability of 50% and a slow growth with a probability of 25%. An investment is likely to provide an expected return of 20% if the economy has a rapid growth, 14% if the economy has normal growth and 8% if the economy grows slowly. In order to get more information, Mark has approached an economist who can provide a better estimate. The economist would charge $15,000 for providing his estimate. The economist predicts the following probabilities: High growth: 40%; normal growth: 40%; and slow growth: 20%.
Construct a decision tree and advise whether use of the services of economist is justified.
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Sue is an exponential discounter. Her discount function which illustrates her preference for money at various points in time is characterized as follows:
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Evaluate what is the size of the annual payment the family must make if the fund is to supply obrey with above estimates?
Explain what do you think Monica's idea of taking control of retirement investing and explain what is your opinion of Richard's contention that saving outside the pension was best?
Prepare a spread sheet model for the client that determines NPV/IRR with and without tax.
Evaluate how much will the father have to save each year before the time his daughter starts college in order to put her through school?
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