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The owners of Good Taste, a bakery in Lewisburg, PA are attempting to determine how many loaves of their famous raisin bread to bake for the first day of the upcoming county fair. Company accounting records show that each loaf of raisin bread costs $1.30 to make. Good Taste plans to sell each loaf for $2.75. Unsold loaves can be sold on the county fair’s second day as “day-old” products. The owners plan to sell such loaves for $1.00 each. The bakery owners believe that the number of loaves they will sell on the county fair’s first day follows the probability distribution as provided in the file. Their goal in deciding how many loaves to bake is to maximize expected profit from these sales.
1) Develop an Excel simulation model in the attached shell.
2) Develop a corresponding data table to find the best number of loaves to bake.
Illustrate what is the probability that the project will be finished in less than 57 days. Illustrate what is the probability that the project will desire at least 50 days.
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Identify key gaps in planning for the exit. Provide recommendations on the exit strategy. Is the sale the right one? What steps ought to be taken to maximize the sales-price? What do you see as a realistic time-horizon for the sale? What other act..
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