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Problem -
Andrew Thomas, a sandwich vendor at Hard Rock Cafe's annual Rockfest, created a table of conditional values for the various alternatives (stocking decision) and states of nature (size of crowd):
Alternatives
States of Natures (Demand)
Big
Average
Small
Large stock
$22,000
$12,000
-$2,000
Average stock
$14,000
$10,000
$6,000
Small stock
$ 9,000
$ 8,000
$4,000
The probabilities associated with the states of nature are 0.3 for a big demand, 0.5 for an average demand, and 0.2 for a small demand.
a) Determine the alternative that provides Andrew the greatest expected monetary value (EMV).
b) Compute the expected value of perfect information (EVPI).
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