Can we perform granger causality test with vecm

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Reference no: EM131020409

Using the following US data: Federal Funds Rate (ffr), intermediate-term rate: Government Bond Yields 3 Years (mid), and long-term rate: Government Bond Yields 10 Years (long), a researcher obtains the following Granger Causality Test results

Pairwise Granger Causality tests

Date 11/18/00  Time 13:00

Sample 1980.01 2000:09

 

 

 

 

 

Null Hypothesis.

Obs

F.Siatistic

Probabildy

MID does nc4 Granger Cause FFR

247

32 8313

24E-13

FFR does not Granger Cause MID

 

4 62628

0 01E67

LONG does not Granger Cause FFR

247

23 7796

3 7E-10

FFR does riot Granger Cause LONG

 

2 37307

0.09536

LONG does not Granger Cause MID

247

508827

0.00685

MID does not Granger Cause LONG

 

1.70200

0 18449

a. What can you conclude about the relationship between these three interest rates?

b. How do you select the lag length for Granger Causality test?

c. Can we perform Granger Causality test with VECM?

Reference no: EM131020409

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