Calculate the mape for theforecast

Assignment Help Business Management
Reference no: EM13968583

Problem 1: Line Balancing

First shift employees at Toyota work from 6am to 2pm Monday through Friday.  Everyone on the assembly line is allowed a 30 minute lunch and two 20 minute breaks. Other cross-trained associates cover lunches and breaks for the associates on the assembly line so the line doesn't stop. After three weeks at Toyota, you record the processes of the assembly line are laid out in the following manner:

Task                       Predecessor                       Average Time (sec)

A                             none                                     100

B                             none                                     150

C                             A                                             93

D                             B                                             120

E                              B                                             86

F                              C                                             84

G                             D, E                                        65

H                             F, G                                        15

The Plant Manager needs first shift to achieve an output of 100 units per shift.

a) Compute the Takt time for the line (2 points).

b) What is the theoretical minimum number of workstations? (2 points)

c) Draw the precedence diagram (2 points).

d)   Assign tasks to work stations and you must use the largest eligible task heuristic rule to break any ties.  Show which tasks are assigned to each workstation (3 points).

e) Compute the efficiency and percent idle time for the system (2 points).

f)  What is the maximum output that could be achieved by a single assembly line in 8 hours? (2 points)

Problem 2: Forecasting

                                Jun         Jul           Aug        Sept       Oct         Nov        Dec

Units Sold            255         305         298         268         321         359         319

Given these sales figures over the last 7 months, your boss needs you to create a forecast model that can be used to forecast sales in the future.  Use three different forecasting methods (last period, 2 period moving average and 3 period moving average) to determine which forecasting method would be best to forecastfuture sales.  For your measure of "best", recommend the company use the method with the lowest mean absolute deviation (MAD).

a) Calculatethe MAD for each of the 3 forecasts

b) After you have selected the best forecasting method, what would you tell your boss is the forecasted sales for January?

Problem 3: Forecast Accuracy

Your company released a new product in Decemberlast year.  Prior to December, the Marketing Department provided their forecasted sales.  The product has been on the market for 5 weeks now and the table below shows the actual sales and Marketing's forecast of units sold.

Week

Actual Sales (units)

Forecasted Sales (units)

1

3,221

4,000

2

4,788

4,500

3

5,372

5,200

4

6,051

5,900

5

6,716

6,200

a) Calculate the MFE for theforecast

b) Calculate the MAPE for theforecast

Reference no: EM13968583

Questions Cloud

Problem regarding the population with standard deviation : When sampling is from a population with standard deviation C = 55, using a sample of size n = 150, what is the probability that X will be at least 8 units away from the population mean µ,?
Synopsis on disaster recovery strategies : Write a 1 - 2 page synopsis on disaster recovery strategies in a mid size organization. Along with reference and apa format
Development of the best economic mixture : In making a land-use policy decision, a planner had to consider three objectives: the development of the best economic mixture of industrial and residential uses, the preserva tion of sensitive environmental areas, and satisfying the largest indus..
How many years it take an investment to triple : How many years it take an investment to triple if the interest rate is 7% compounded annually? State the amount accumulated by each of the following present investmens: $4,000 in 10 years at 8% compounded annually.
Calculate the mape for theforecast : After you have selected the best forecasting method, what would you tell your boss is the forecasted sales for January?
How should the discussions be structured : Can you give any advice to a committee working on a problem that might help it to arrive at a decision? How should the discussions be structured? Can sensitivity analysis help in such a situation; if so, how?
Two attribute multilinear utility function : Show that when n = 2, the multiplicative utility function is equivalent to the two- attribute multilinear utility function. (Hint: This is an algebra problem. You must show that one utility function is a scaled version of the other.
Additive independence among attributes : For some of the attributes in your computer decision, you face uncertainty. The additive utility function assessed in Problem 15.17 essentially assumes that additive independence among attributes is reasonable.
Two-attribute utility function : What other attributes are important in a job decision? Would the two-attribute utility function you just assessed be useful as a first approximation if many of the other at- tributes were close in comparing two jobs?

Reviews

Write a Review

Business Management Questions & Answers

  Caselet on michael porter’s value chain management

The assignment in management is a two part assignment dealing 1.Theory of function of management. 2. Operations and Controlling.

  Mountain man brewing company

Mountain Man Brewing, a family owned business where Chris Prangel, the son of the president joins. Due to increase in the preference for light beer drinkers, Chris Prangel wants to introduce light beer version in Mountain Man. An analysis into the la..

  Mountain man brewing company

Mountain Man Brewing, a family owned business where Chris Prangel, the son of the president joins. An analysis into the launch of Mountain Man Light over the present Mountain Man Lager.

  Analysis of the case using the doing ethics technique

Analysis of the case using the Doing Ethics Technique (DET). Analysis of the ethical issue(s) from the perspective of an ICT professional, using the ACS Code of  Conduct and properly relating clauses from the ACS Code of Conduct to the ethical issue.

  Affiliations and partnerships

Affiliations and partnerships are frequently used to reach a larger local audience? Which options stand to avail for the Hotel manager and what problems do these pose.

  Innovation-friendly regulations

What influence (if any) can organizations exercise to encourage ‘innovation-friendly' regulations?

  Effect of regional and corporate cultural issues

Present your findings as a group powerpoint with an audio file. In addition individually write up your own conclusions as to the effects of regional cultural issues on the corporate organisational culture of this multinational company as it conducts ..

  Structure of business plan

This assignment shows a structure of business plan. The task is to write a business plane about a Diet Shop.

  Identify the purposes of different types of organisations

Identify the purposes of different types of organisations.

  Entrepreneur case study for analysis

Entrepreneur Case Study for Analysis. Analyze Robin Wolaner's suitability to be an entrepreneur

  Forecasting and business analysis

This problem requires you to apply your cross-sectional analysis skills to a real cross-sectional data set with the goal of answering a specific research question.

  Educational instructional leadership

Prepare a major handout on the key principles of instructional leadership

Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd