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Estimating the forecast value using 3-month moving average method.
The Saki motorcycle dealer in the Minneapolis-St. Paul area wants to make an accurate forecast of demand for the Saki Super TXII motorcycle during the next month. Because the manufacturer is in Japan, it is difficult to send motorcycles back or reorder if the proper number is not ordered a month ahead. From sales records, the dealer has accumulated the following data for the past year:
Month Sales
Motorcycle
January
9
February
7
March
10
April
8
May
June
12
July
August
11
September
October
November
14
December
16
Compute a 3-month moving average forecast of demand for April through January (of the next year).
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