Probability theory, Applied Statistics

Assignment Help:

Origin and Development of probability Theory:

The credit for origin and development of probability goes to the European gamblers of 17th century. They  used to gamble  on games  of  chance  such as throwing  a dice, tossing  up a coin , horse  race, drawing  cards from a pack of cards etc.  For getting success in above games of chances. They started getting the help of mathematicians. By the deep study and calculations of these mathematicians the theory of probability originated. 

All Italian Mathematician Jerome cardoon(1501-1576)   was the first person to write a book on probability, Games  of chances which was published after his  death in 1663. In  this  book he mentioned all risks involved  and rules how to lessen  those risks  Galileo (1564-1642)  an Italian Mathematician, attempted  quantitative   measures  of probability for solving  the problems related  to the theory of dice in gambling. In  mid 17th century two French mathematicians  Blaise  Pascal (1623-1662)    mce_markernbsp; pierre   de fermat  gave  the systematic and scientific foundation of mathematical  theory  of probability. Swisss mathematician  James Bernoulli (1654-1705)  was another  brave and  strong man who made extensive study of the subject  for 2 decades  and introduced Bernoulli theorem and its theory in his book air conjectandi published in 1713  after his death in major contribution to the modern theory    of probability. In 1718 Abrahm de Moivre  (1667-1754)  published his book The  Doctrine of chances and contributed a lot to this subject.   

In 18th &19th century many mathematicians tried to develop scientific method for the development of different theorems of probability. Thomas Bayes (1702-1761) introduced the concept of inverse probability which is also known as bayes . Theorem Pierre Simon   de Laplace (1749-1827) after an extensive research published his book. Theory of Analytical  probability which constitutes the classical theory  of probability; Ronald fisher and von mises introduced empirical approach probability through an idea of sample  space, In 1926   mathematician frank Ramsey published his work the foundation of mathematics and other logical essays  in  which he introduced the theory  of subjective approach to probability. Which was developed  by Richard good Bernard, Coopman  and Lleonard  sweage. This concept is especially used in statistical decision theory.

The modern theory  of probability  was developed by a number of Russian   mathematicians like  Chebychev (1821-1894)  A  markov (1856-1922)  and A .N Kolmogarov. Kolmogarov axionised   the  theory  of probability  and  he published his work foundations of probability  in 1933  in which he introduced  probability as set function and regarded as a classic. 


Related Discussions:- Probability theory

Types of cost-reimbursable contracts, Types of cost-reimbursable contracts ...

Types of cost-reimbursable contracts are:   Cost Plus Fixed Fee contract (CPPF): Compensation is based on a fixed sum independent of the final project cost. The customer a

Box plots, This box plot displays the diversity wfood; the data ranges from...

This box plot displays the diversity wfood; the data ranges from 0.05710 being the minimum value and 0.78900 being the maximum value. The box plot is slightly positively skewed at

Evaluate the standard deviation, Use only the rare event rule, and make sub...

Use only the rare event rule, and make subjective estimates to determine whether events are likely. For example, if the claim is that a coin favors heads and sample results consis

Decision theory, 1. Definition of decision tree, 2. Feature of decision the...

1. Definition of decision tree, 2. Feature of decision theory problem

Estimation error on apparent arbitrage, This question explores the effect o...

This question explores the effect of estimation error on apparent arbitrage opportunities in a controlled simulation setting. We simulate returns for N = 10 assets over T = 30 year

Simple linear regression model, A study was conducted to determine the amou...

A study was conducted to determine the amount of heat loss for a certain brand of thermal pane window. Three different windows were randomly subjected to each of three different ou

Simple regression, Simple Regression: The Teacher Preparation Researc...

Simple Regression: The Teacher Preparation Research Team conducted a study of college students who took the Praxis II-a teacher certification examination. Some variables from

Index number of price for paasche’s method, Construct index numbers of pri...

Construct index numbers of price for the following data by applying: i)      Laspeyre’s method ii)     Paasche’s method iii)    Fisher’s Ideal Index number

Test for equality of two means, Let X 1  and X 2  be two independent po...

Let X 1  and X 2  be two independent populations with population means μ 1  and  μ 2  respectively. Two samples are taken, one from each population, of sizes n 1  and n 2  re

Flow chart for confidence interval, Flow Chart for Confidence Interval ...

Flow Chart for Confidence Interval We can now prepare a flow chart for estimating a confidence interval for μ, the population parameter. Figure

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd