expected monetary value, Advanced Statistics

Assignment Help:
Ask quesoil company is considering whether or not to bid for an offshore drilling contract. If they bid, the value would be $600m with a 65% chance of gaining the contract. The company may set up a new drilling operation or move its already existing operation, which has proved successful to the new site. The probability of success and expected returns (in $m) are as follows:
outcome New operation Existing operation
Probability Expected return Probability Expected return
Success 0.75 800 0.85 700
Failure 0.25 200 0.15 350

If the company does not bid or lose the contract, they can use the $600m to modernise their operations. This would result in a return of either 5% or 10% on the sum invested with probabilities 0.45 and 0.55 respectively.
With the aid of a decision tree, prepare a detailed quantitative report advising the company on the best course of action.

tion #Minimum 100 words accepted#

Related Discussions:- expected monetary value

Describe item-total correlation, Item-total correlation is an  extensively...

Item-total correlation is an  extensively used method for checking the homogeneity of the scale made up of number of items. It is simply the Pearson's product moment correlation c

Hill-climbing algorithm, Hill-climbing algorithm is  an algorithm which is ...

Hill-climbing algorithm is  an algorithm which is made in use in those techniques of cluster analysis which seek to find the partition of n individuals into g clusters by optimizin

Please answer this question, How large would the sample need to be if we ar...

How large would the sample need to be if we are to pick a 95% confidence level sample: (i) From a population of 70; (ii) From a population of 450; (iii) From a population of 1000;

Hazard regression, Hazard regression is the procedure for modeling the haz...

Hazard regression is the procedure for modeling the hazard function which does not depend on the suppositions made in Cox's proportional hazards model, namely that the log-hazard

Factor, The term used in a variety of methods in statistics, but mostly to ...

The term used in a variety of methods in statistics, but mostly to refer to the categorical variable, with a less number of levels, under examination in an experiment as a possible

Ordered alternative hypothesis, Ordered alternative hypothesis is a hypoth...

Ordered alternative hypothesis is a hypothesis or assumption which speci?es an order for the set of parameters of interest as an alternative to the equality, rather than simply th

Zero-inflated poisson regression, Zero-inflated Poisson regression is  the...

Zero-inflated Poisson regression is  the model for count data with the excess zeros. It supposes that with probability p the only possible observation is 0 and with the probabilit

Differences-in-differences estimator, The estimator of the group by the tim...

The estimator of the group by the time period interaction in a study in which the subjects in two different groups are observed in two different time periods. Normally one of th

Locally weighted regression, Locally weighted regression  is the method of ...

Locally weighted regression  is the method of regression analysis in which the polynomials of degree one (linear) or two (quadratic) are used to approximate regression function in

Expected monetary value, Ask quesoil company is considering whether or not ...

Ask quesoil company is considering whether or not to bid for an offshore drilling contract. If they bid, the value would be $600m with a 65% chance of gaining the contract. The com

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd