expected monetary value, Advanced Statistics

Assignment Help:
Ask quesoil company is considering whether or not to bid for an offshore drilling contract. If they bid, the value would be $600m with a 65% chance of gaining the contract. The company may set up a new drilling operation or move its already existing operation, which has proved successful to the new site. The probability of success and expected returns (in $m) are as follows:
outcome New operation Existing operation
Probability Expected return Probability Expected return
Success 0.75 800 0.85 700
Failure 0.25 200 0.15 350

If the company does not bid or lose the contract, they can use the $600m to modernise their operations. This would result in a return of either 5% or 10% on the sum invested with probabilities 0.45 and 0.55 respectively.
With the aid of a decision tree, prepare a detailed quantitative report advising the company on the best course of action.

tion #Minimum 100 words accepted#

Related Discussions:- expected monetary value

Determinant, A value related with the square matrix which represents sums a...

A value related with the square matrix which represents sums and products of its elements. For instance, if the matrix is   then the determinant of A (conventionally written as

Option-3 scheme, Option-3 scheme is a scheme of measurement used in the si...

Option-3 scheme is a scheme of measurement used in the situations investigating possible changes over the time in longitudinal data. The scheme is planned to prevent measurement o

Hypothesis testing and chi-square tests.., The results of a survey determin...

The results of a survey determined whether the age of a driver 21 years and older has any effect on the number of motor vehicle accidents in which he/she is involved. Question 1:

Zero sumgame, Zero sumgame is a game played by the number of persons in wh...

Zero sumgame is a game played by the number of persons in which the winner takes all stakes given by the losers so that the algebraic sum of gains at any stage is zero. Number of

Bubble plot, Bubble plot : A method or technique for displaying the observa...

Bubble plot : A method or technique for displaying the observations which involve three variable values. Two of the variables are used to make a scatter diagram and values of the t

Cross over design, The type of longitudinal study in which the subjects rec...

The type of longitudinal study in which the subjects receive different treatments on the various occasions. Random allocation is required to determine the order in which the treatm

Mareg, MAREG is the software package for the analysis of the marginal regr...

MAREG is the software package for the analysis of the marginal regression models. The package permits the application of generalized estimating equations and the maximum likelihoo

Gabor regression, This is an approach to the modelling of time-frequency su...

This is an approach to the modelling of time-frequency surfaces which consists of a Bayesian regularization scheme in which the prior distributions over the time-frequency coeffici

Quatitative methods, An oil company is considering whether or not to bid fo...

An oil company is considering whether or not to bid for an offshore drilling contract. If they bid, the value would be $600m with a 65% chance of gaining the contract. The company

Cure models, Models for the analysis of the survival times, or the time to ...

Models for the analysis of the survival times, or the time to event, data in which it is expected that a fraction of the subjects will not experience the event of interest. In a cl

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd