expected monetary value, Advanced Statistics

Assignment Help:
Ask quesoil company is considering whether or not to bid for an offshore drilling contract. If they bid, the value would be $600m with a 65% chance of gaining the contract. The company may set up a new drilling operation or move its already existing operation, which has proved successful to the new site. The probability of success and expected returns (in $m) are as follows:
outcome New operation Existing operation
Probability Expected return Probability Expected return
Success 0.75 800 0.85 700
Failure 0.25 200 0.15 350

If the company does not bid or lose the contract, they can use the $600m to modernise their operations. This would result in a return of either 5% or 10% on the sum invested with probabilities 0.45 and 0.55 respectively.
With the aid of a decision tree, prepare a detailed quantitative report advising the company on the best course of action.

tion #Minimum 100 words accepted#

Related Discussions:- expected monetary value

Lexis diagram, Lexis diagram  is the diagram for displaying the simultaneou...

Lexis diagram  is the diagram for displaying the simultaneous effects of the two time scales (generally age and calendar time) on a rate. For instance, mortality rates from cancer

Hot deck, Hot deck is a method broadly used in surveys for imputing the mi...

Hot deck is a method broadly used in surveys for imputing the missing values. In its easiest form the method includes sampling with replacement m values from the sample respondent

Explain remedian, Remedian: The robust estimator of location which is comp...

Remedian: The robust estimator of location which is computed by an iterative process. By assuming that the sample size n can be written as bk where b and k are the integers, the s

Historigram, difference between histogram and historigram

difference between histogram and historigram

Describe longini koopman model, Longini Koopman model : In epidemiology the...

Longini Koopman model : In epidemiology the model for primary and secondary infection, based on the classification of the extra-binomial variation in an infection rate which might

Histogram, Histogram is the graphical representation of the set of observat...

Histogram is the graphical representation of the set of observations in which class frequencies are represented by the regions of rectangles centred on the class interval. If the f

Observational study, Observational study   is the study in which the object...

Observational study   is the study in which the objective is to discover cause-and-effect relationships but in which it is not feasible to use the controlled experimentation, in th

Explain lie factor, Lie factor : A measure suggested by Tufte for judging t...

Lie factor : A measure suggested by Tufte for judging the honesty of the graphical presentation of data. Which can be calculated as follows   The values close to one are desir

Explain yate s'' continuity correction, Yate s' continuity correction : Whe...

Yate s' continuity correction : When the testing for independence in contingency table, a continuous probability distribution, known as chi-squared distribution, is used as the app

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd