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Energy investment with information. The company in Exercises 18, 26, and 28 could send a team to Saudi Arabia to obtain additional information about the probabilities that oil will increase or decrease in price. They hope that the fact-finding trip would choose between the two alter- natives considered in Exercise 26, or they could just estimate that the probabilities are equal.
a) Make a decision tree for these decisions.
b) Should the company send the fact-finding trip? Explain.
c) The company's experts estimate that if they send the fact-finding mission, there's a 70% chance that they'll con- clude there's a 0.4 probability of higher oil prices. What would the value of the additional information be to the company?
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