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Unemployment rate (LUNEMP):
A key variable to assess the performance of any economy when an economy is growing, the unemployment rate will fall as job creation increases and in turn this will impact positively on GDP. For this project, the correlation between oil prices and unemployment will be observed, with the aim of analysing whether an oil price shock would lead to more unemployment as might be expected to happen as oil is a major element of production in certain industries and asthe production costs increase, businesses may have to reduce costs in other areas, such as labour. The data is in the form of the unemployment rate of the UK. This is calculated as follows;
Oil price shocks lead to large adverse supply shocks in the macroeconomy, infer Dornbusch et al (2008) who define an adverse supply shock as; ‘one that shifts the aggregate supply
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