Statistically modeling, Advanced Statistics

Assignment Help:

A comprehensive regression analysis of the case study London has been carried out to test the 4 assumptions of regression:

1. Variables are normally distributed

2. Linear relationship between the independent and dependent variables

3. Homoscedasticity

4. Variables are measured without error

A preliminary analysis was carried out and there was no missing data or data that was subject to ambiguity. A set of descriptive statistics was generated of the variables Wfood, Totexp, Income, Age and Nk.  The descriptive statistics showed that there were no missing data and there was a small change of the mean and trimmed mean for each variable. Standard deviation and variance for Wfood and nk are low, age is relatively high and totexp and income are the highest. Wfood, totexp, income, age and nk have relatively high coefficients showing dispersion of data.     

The box plots help to identify the quartiles, minimum and maximum values, skewness and their outliers for each variable visually but for nk it is not significant as the data is either 1 or 2. All box plots are positively skewed apart from the nk box plot. Outliers for wfood are 5, totexp are 47, income are 58, age are 27 and none for nk.

The correlation is to see the relationship between all the variables with the Pearson's correlation to see the linear relationship. Multicollinearity is present if Pearson's correlation is greater than 0.9 and that's the case for the following:

  • Wfood and nk (highly correlated)
  • Totexp and income (highly correlated)
  • Totexp and age(highly correlated)
  • Income and age (highly correlated)

In multiple regression equation wfood is the Y dependent variable however totexp, income, age and nk are the X independent variables. The standard error coefficient is close to the coefficient which indicates there is not a vast difference between the coefficient and its actual figure. The goodness of fit fits the multiple regression model as concluded from the hypothesis and at least one slope is not equal to zero. The components have been tested according to the hypothesis with the result as totexp and income not fitting the model but the constant, age and nk fitting the model as they greater than the critical T value.

The VIF shows multicollinearity between the variables and in this case the VIF suggests that wfood is not strongly correlated with other independent variables.  R-squared is relatively low which indicates that there is relatively low variation of wfood (Y) in relation to the linear relationship between the Y and X variables. The adjusted R-squared is a more accurate measure of the goodness of fit of the model and it is always lower than the R-squared. 

The Durban Watson reveals the existence of autocorrelation and as it is 1.98307 there is no autocorrelation or first order autocorrelation. 

The normal probability plot of Anderson Darling, Ryan-Joiner and Kolmogorov-Smirnov show that random errors are not normal distributed and the assumption of normality is satisfied as the probability plot is close to the straight line suggesting linearity of the model.

The histograms show skewness, kurtosis and the distribution of data for each variable graphically. All histograms are positively skewed apart from the nk histogram which is negative. Kurtois is the measure of the flatness of the distribution and Wfood and nk is relatively flat but income, totexp and age is relatively peaked compared to normal distribution.

The Lagrange Multiplier, Whites General, Glejser's and Park tests show that there is heteroscedasticity in the model but the Breusch-Pagan test shows there is no heteroscedasticity. In regards to autocorrelation as there is a large data sample of 1519 it is difficult to determine whether autocorrelation exists on the time series plots but concluded that no autocorrelation is present. D Using a remedial measure of weight least squares still shows that heteroscedasticity exists.

The Cross Correlation for RESI1 shows possibly negative autocorrelation however Autocorrelation Function for RESI1 and Partial Autocorrelation Function for RESI1 show there is no autocorrelation. The LBQ test and LM test also proves that there is no autocorrelation.

The revising of the model had been done in order to see if the assumptions of regression are met. There were 17 clearly visible outliers that were removed gathered from the time series plots and scatter plots and also the variable income was dropped as the results of the best subsets and F-Wald Test indicated it would be a better revision of the model as it was not an influential variable.  

The r-squared was slightly increased which is better but not as much however majority of tests still indicate that there is still heteroscedasticity but no autocorrelation.


Related Discussions:- Statistically modeling

Please answer this question, How large would the sample need to be if we ar...

How large would the sample need to be if we are to pick a 95% confidence level sample: (i) From a population of 70; (ii) From a population of 450; (iii) From a population of 1000;

Define radical statistics group, Radical statistics group : The national ne...

Radical statistics group : The national network of the social scientists in United Kingdom committed to the critique of statistics as taken in use in the policy making procedure. T

Differences total spot, The graphical process most frequently used in the a...

The graphical process most frequently used in the analysis of data from a two-by-two crossover design. For each of the subject the difference between the response variable values o

Estimating functions, The functions of the data and the parameters of inter...

The functions of the data and the parameters of interest which can be brought in use to conduct inference about the parameters when full distribution of the observations is unknown

Double-dummy technique, It is the technique used in the clinical trials whe...

It is the technique used in the clinical trials when it is possible to make an acceptable place before an active treatment but not to make the two active treatments identical. In t

Determine allowable setup cost, A metal fabrication process uses a die-cast...

A metal fabrication process uses a die-cast metal fastener at a uniform rate of 300 units per year. Currently, this item is currently purchased from an external supplier at a unit

Define Geo statistics, Geo statistics: The body of methods useful for unde...

Geo statistics: The body of methods useful for understanding and modelling spatial variability in a course of interest. Central to these techniques is the idea that measurements t

Comprehensive report writing assignment help, Hamilton County judges try th...

Hamilton County judges try thousands of cases per year. In an overwhelming majority of the cases disposed, the verdict stands as rendered. However, some cases are appeale

Business forcastin.., elements , importance, limitation, and theories

elements , importance, limitation, and theories

Explain kleiner hartigan trees, Kleiner Hartigan trees is a technique for ...

Kleiner Hartigan trees is a technique for displaying the multivariate data graphically as the 'trees' in which the values of the variables are coded into length of the terminal br

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd