Receivables management, Financial Management

Assignment Help:

Receivables Management

The decision on whether to grant or not to grant credit to a particular customer can be taken if certain subjective probabilities of the payment pattern of the customer can be specified based on an analysis of the customer's financial viability, the nature of profession or employment or business he is engaged in, his relationship with other suppliers, his past record of payments to other suppliers, etc. has been carried out. The decision to grant credit or not to grant credit is usually based on expected value calculations.

Example 

A textile manufacturer must decide whether a credit of Rs.30 lakh can be extended to a new customer who manufactures dresses. The customer is expected to make a repeat purchase. The textile manufacturer on credit evaluation of the customer feels that the probability that the customer will pay is 0.85 and the probability that the customer will default is 0.15. If the customer pays for the first purchase, the probability that he will pay for the repeat purchase would increase to 0.95. The repeat purchase is also expected to be worth Rs.30 lakh. The cost of sales for both orders is 80 percent of sales value. Should the textile manufacturer grant credit?

The possibilities when credit is granted for the first order are as follows:

  1. The customer defaults and no repeat purchase is allowed.

  2. The customer pays and places a repeat purchase order.

The outcome of the repeat order could be that the customer pays or does not pay.

In the example, at the first decision node we have two choices: to allow credit or not to allow credit. If credit is allowed on the first order, the subsequent events are the customer will pay with a probability of 0.85 or he will not pay with a probability of 0.15. If the customer pays then at the second decision node he is expected to make a repeat purchase. The subsequent events on allowing credit for the second order are that the customer will pay with a probability of 0.95 or not pay with a probability of 0.05.

We can draw the following decision tree:

Figure 

663_recievables management.png

Evaluating expected pay-offs from right to left,

At node D2:

Decision - Go for 2nd order

 

prob.

x

pay-off

=

Exp. pay-off

Event: customer will pay

0.85

x

(6 + 4.5)

=

8.925

Event: customer will not pay

(+)0.15

x

0.8*(-)30

=

(-)3.6

 

Net Expected Pay-off

=

5.325

Therefore, by going for the 2nd order the net expected pay-off is Rs.4.5 lakh.

At node D1:

Decision - Allow Credit and go for 1st order

 

prob.

x

pay-off

=

Exp. pay-off


Event: customer will pay

0.85

x

(6 + 4.5)

=

8.925

Event: customer will not pay

(+)0.15

x

0.8*(-)30

=

(-)3.6

 

Net Expected Pay-off

=

5.325

* (Note that for the event, customer will pay, we consider the total expected pay-off i.e. 6 + 4.5. This is because if the customer pays for the 1st order he will make a profit of Rs.6 lakh on the 1st order as well as make a net expected pay-off of Rs.4.5 lakh on the 2nd order which takes place as a result of the customer paying for the 1st order.)

Decision - Do not allow credit

Here the pay-off is 0.

We find that if the decision of allowing credit is followed then a net expected pay-off of Rs.5.325 lakh can be made as opposed to no pay-off by not allowing credit. Hence the decision of allowing credit is followed.


Related Discussions:- Receivables management

Enumerate the potential drawbacks of divestment, Potential drawbacks of div...

Potential drawbacks of divestment - There may be some loss of economies of scale. Fixed overheads would have a lower capacity to recover them. - Cash generated may not be

Corporate governance, CORPORATE GOVERNANCE Corporate governance can be ...

CORPORATE GOVERNANCE Corporate governance can be stated in different ways, for example: The Private Sector Corporate Governance Trust (PSCGT) defines that corporate governan

long-term supermarket projects, Here is currently making investment apprai...

Here is currently making investment appraisals of two potential long-term supermarket projects, A and B. Both projects needs the similar initial investment of £20m. The following r

What is sinking fund, What is Sinking Fund A provision which requires t...

What is Sinking Fund A provision which requires the corporation to set aside a fixed amount every year to help provide for orderly repayment of the debt issue.

WACC, Keys Printing plans to issue a $1,000 par value, 10-year noncallable ...

Keys Printing plans to issue a $1,000 par value, 10-year noncallable bond with a 5.00% coupon, paid semiannually. It should sell at par. The company''''s marginal tax rate is 40.00

Explain the tests of controlor systems based auditing, Tests of controlor s...

Tests of controlor systems based auditing Tests to obtain audit evidence about effective operation of the accounting and internal control systems. It isn't concerned about deta

Define a preemptive right protect the interests, How does a preemptive righ...

How does a preemptive right protect the interests of existing stockholders? A preemptive right defends the interests of existing stockholders by providing them the opportunity to

Statement of cash flows, Statement of Cash Flows A formal statement of ...

Statement of Cash Flows A formal statement of the cash received and disbursed through an organization. The statement of cash flows is separate into three sections that are inve

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd