Pros and cons of var, Macroeconomics

Assignment Help:

Since their inception, VAR models have been at the centre of many controversies associated with econometric modelling. The recurring criticism throughout history is due to the model being a-theoretic. There is not an underlying theory which is attached to the model therefore it incorporates no prior information. Asteriou and Hall (2011) argue that since there are no initial restrictions on the models parameters, one could deduce that all variables have an effect on everything. However, statistical inference, namely, causality testing can be used to eliminate those variables which are deemed insignificant from the model. Another problem which can occur when using VAR is that the parameters will consume much of the degrees of freedom, insist Gujarati & Porter (2009). For example; if we had a 4 variable model and had chosen to use 8 lags, 32 lagged parameters will exist, which in addition to the constant would total 33. Should the sample size not be sufficiently large, the parameters will use too many degrees of freedom. This will lead to problems withthe estimation.

Finally, VAR cannot be used for policy analysis due to the lack of prior information and a-theoretic nature of the VAR model; therefore the results are incredibly problematic to interpret. However there are methods to overcome this problem. Supporters of the model suggest estimating the impulse response functions thus ascertaining the effects on the variables, should one of them be subject to a shock. There are some advantages to using VAR models. They are very simple to setup. Econometricians need not worry about which variables are endogenous and which are exogenous i.e. originating within or outside the model. Additionally the estimation is extremely simple; each equation can be estimated using the standard OLS method.


Related Discussions:- Pros and cons of var

TERMS OF TRADE, HOW INCOME TERMS OF TRADE DIFFER WITH COMMODITY TERMS OF TR...

HOW INCOME TERMS OF TRADE DIFFER WITH COMMODITY TERMS OF TRADE"

Determine the main target of monetary policy, Determine the main target of ...

Determine the main target of monetary policy Since 1997 'official' main target of monetary policy has been to 'hit' inflation rate target set by government. Though since the o

Explain production as an income generating activity, Explain production as ...

Explain production as an income generating activity. What are the principal difference among government purchases of goods & service and transfer payments? Why are in

frame work, Hello sir, madam... I am hassan PHD student. I''m lost to get...

Hello sir, madam... I am hassan PHD student. I''m lost to get a good frame work of my thesis about e government and economic growth. and I need to know how to measure the variable

What is independent monetary policy, What is independent monetary policy ...

What is independent monetary policy Advantages: First, in a freely-floating exchange rate, the exchange rate must move down or up to correct a payments imbalance. Second, monet

Illustrate the policy - beggar my neighbour, Illustrate the policy - Beggar...

Illustrate the policy - Beggar my neighbour 'Beggar my neighbour' policies are government policies which attempt to gain a competitive benefit at the expense of other countries

Intertemporal choices , ) Consider an economy where individuals live for 2 ...

) Consider an economy where individuals live for 2 periods and have prefer- ences represented by ln(c) + ß ln(c') where c and c' represent consumption in the first and second perio

Example of inventory investment- accounting system, ACCOUNTING SYSTEM-EXAMP...

ACCOUNTING SYSTEM-EXAMPLE IV  Now consider the economy as in example III. In the next year same outputs were produced and the same incomes were paid out. However, the household

Benefits in a perfectly competitive market, "Nearly all critics agree that ...

"Nearly all critics agree that consumers have the most benefits in a perfectly competitive market." Does the above statement apply to microeconomics or macroeconomics? Why? Think a

Combination, take one set ( lk& output) to prove

take one set ( lk& output) to prove

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd