Pros and cons of var, Macroeconomics

Assignment Help:

Since their inception, VAR models have been at the centre of many controversies associated with econometric modelling. The recurring criticism throughout history is due to the model being a-theoretic. There is not an underlying theory which is attached to the model therefore it incorporates no prior information. Asteriou and Hall (2011) argue that since there are no initial restrictions on the models parameters, one could deduce that all variables have an effect on everything. However, statistical inference, namely, causality testing can be used to eliminate those variables which are deemed insignificant from the model. Another problem which can occur when using VAR is that the parameters will consume much of the degrees of freedom, insist Gujarati & Porter (2009). For example; if we had a 4 variable model and had chosen to use 8 lags, 32 lagged parameters will exist, which in addition to the constant would total 33. Should the sample size not be sufficiently large, the parameters will use too many degrees of freedom. This will lead to problems withthe estimation.

Finally, VAR cannot be used for policy analysis due to the lack of prior information and a-theoretic nature of the VAR model; therefore the results are incredibly problematic to interpret. However there are methods to overcome this problem. Supporters of the model suggest estimating the impulse response functions thus ascertaining the effects on the variables, should one of them be subject to a shock. There are some advantages to using VAR models. They are very simple to setup. Econometricians need not worry about which variables are endogenous and which are exogenous i.e. originating within or outside the model. Additionally the estimation is extremely simple; each equation can be estimated using the standard OLS method.


Related Discussions:- Pros and cons of var

Unemployment, Who is considered unemployed?

Who is considered unemployed?

Pdf, asiignment on ppc

asiignment on ppc

Output-maximizing model, For a single nonprofit provider, describe an outpu...

For a single nonprofit provider, describe an output-maximizing model to predict supplier behavior.

TAXATION, What is Inherent Limitation?

What is Inherent Limitation?

Probabilities, Compute the following probabilities a) If Y is distribute...

Compute the following probabilities a) If Y is distributed N(1,4) find Pr(y ? 3) b) If Y is distributed N(3,9) find pr(y>0) c) If Y is distributed N (50,25) find pr(40?Y?5

Trade and economic growth, Trade and Economic Growth: For a long time,...

Trade and Economic Growth: For a long time, academic debate on trade liberalization and its positive effects on growth rate remained inconclusive and unsettled. But most recen

Elucidate own small building company, You operate your own small building c...

You operate your own small building company and have decided to bid on a government contract to build a pedestrian walkway in a national park during the coming winter. The walkway

Define the natural rate of unemployment, Define the Natural rate of unemplo...

Define the Natural rate of unemployment Natural rate of unemployment is defined as the sum of rates of structural, frictional, and classical unemployment (excluding cyclical un

How much money can banks create, How much money can banks create? Does...

How much money can banks create? Does this mean that banks can create an unlimited amount of money? The answer is no - that would require them to lend an unlimited amount of m

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd