Price volatility characteristics of option-free bonds, Financial Management

Assignment Help:

As we know that price of option-free bond changes in the opposite direction from a change in bond's required yield, Table 1 and figure 1 explains this feature of option free bond.              

Table 1: Relationship of Price/Yield for Six Hypothetical Option Free Bond  

 

    Price in Rs.

Yield (%)

6.75%
5-Years

6.75%
20-Years

8.5%
5-Years

8.5%
20-Years

11.5%
5-Years

11.5%
20-Years

3.00

117.17*

155.79

125.19

181.83

138.93

226.46

3.50

114.67

146.19

122.58

171.06

136.12

213.70

4.00

112.24

137.37

120.03

161.16

133.39

201.93

5.00

107.58

121.81

115.15

143.62

128.14

181.00

5.50

105.34

114.94

112.81

135.85

125.62

171.70

6.25

102.09

105.62

109.41

125.29

121.97

159.01

6.75

100.00

100.00

107.22

118.91

119.61

151.31

7.00

98.97

97.35

106.15

115.89

118.45

147.67

7.25

97.96

94.80

105.09

112.99

117.31

144.16

7.75

95.98

90.00

103.01

107.50

115.07

137.51

8.00

95.01

87.73

102.00

104.91

113.97

134.36

8.25

94.05

85.54

100.99

102.41

112.89

131.32

8.60

92.73

82.62

99.61

99.06

111.40

127.24

9.00

91.25

79.46

98.06

95.44

109.72

122.82

* Prices = Coupon Income x PVIFA(Kd, n) + Par Value x PVIF(Kd, n)

All the values are computed in the similar maner.

We can see that value of long-term bond (20-years bond) decreases faster than short-term bond (5-years bond). 

Figure 1: Price/Yield Relationship for a Hypothetical Option-Free Bonds

1527_price yield relationship.png

It is very clear from the chart that with every increase in the required yield, price of option free bond decreases. We can also notice from the chart that the price/yield relationship is not linear. The shape of line representing the relationship of these two is known as a convex.

We can measure the rupee price or the percentage price change in the bond price due to change in yield. Table 2 shows the percentage change in the bond prices given in Table 1 due to various changes in yield.

Table 2: Instantaneous Percentage Price Change for three Hypothetical Bonds

Yield (%)

6.75%/
5-Years

6.75%/
20-Years

8.5%/
5-Years

8.5%/
20-Years

11.5%/
5-Years

11.5%/
20-Years

3.00

17.17

55.79

25.19

81.83

38.93

126.46

3.50

14.67

46.19

22.58

71.06

36.12

113.70

4.00

12.24

37.37

20.03

61.16

33.39

101.93

5.00

7.58

21.81

15.15

43.62

28.14

81.00

5.50

5.34

14.94

12.81

35.85

25.62

71.70

6.25

2.09

5.62

9.41

25.29

21.97

59.01

6.75

0.00

0.00

7.22

18.91

19.61

51.31

7.00

-1.03

-2.65

6.15

15.89

18.45

47.67

7.25

-2.04

-5.20

5.09

12.99

17.31

44.16

7.75

-4.02

-10.00

3.01

7.50

15.07

37.51

8.00

-4.99

-12.27

2.00

4.91

13.97

34.36

8.25

-5.95

-14.46

0.99

2.41

12.89

31.32

8.60

-7.27

-17.38

-0.39

-0.94

11.40

27.24

9.00

-8.75

-20.54

-1.94

-4.56

9.72

22.82                                          

A critical examination of Table 2 reveals the following properties concerning the price volatility of an option-free bond:

Property 1: Price moves in the opposite direction from the change in required yield. However, the percentage change in the price is not same for all bonds.

Property 2: The small changes (increase or decrease) in the required yield are roughly same to the percentage price change from a given bond.

Property 3: When the change in the required yield is large, the percentage change for an increase in required yield differs from the percentage price change for a decrease on the required yield.

Property 4: The percentage price increase is greater than the percentage price decrease for a given large change in basis points in the required yields.

Though the properties are expressed as percentage price changes, it is true even for the rupee price changes.

Let us explain Properties 3 and 4 with the help of Figure 2.

Figure 2: Graphical Representation of Properties 3 and 4 for an Option-Free Bond

2011_option free bond.png

In Figure 2, horizontal axis represents the yield and vertical axis represents the Price of the bond. In addition, Y, Y1 and Y2 represent the initial yield, lower yield and higher yield respectively. In the same way, P, P1 , and P2 represent initial price, price at lower yield and price at higher yield respectively. The initial yield decreases and increases in such a manner that,

         Y - Y1 = Y2 - Y

Let us assume that there is a large change in basis points in the required yield.

When yield increases from Y to Y2 then change in initial price (P) is equal to the difference between the new price (P2) and the initial price. That is,

         Change in price when yield increases = P - P2

When yield decreases from Y to Y1 then change in initial price (P) is equal to the difference between the new price (P1) and the initial price. That is,

         Change in price when yield decreases = P1 - P

We can see from the chart that the change in price when yield decreases is not equal to the change in price when yield increases. That is,

         P1 - P ≠ P - P2

Property 3 states the same point. In addition, when we compare the price change in both situations, then we find that the change in price is greater when yield decreases than when the yield increases. That is,

         P1 - P > P - P2

Property 4 states the same point. This property implies that when an investor in bond holds a long position, the price appreciation an investor would realize from the decrease in the required yield would be greater than the capital loss that he would realize when there is a decrease by the same number of basis points in the required yield y. For an investor holding a short position in bond, the opposite would be true. That is, the potential capital loss is higher than the potential capital gain if yield changes by a given number of basis points.

Now let us understand how the convexity of price/yield relationship impacts Property 4. Figures 3 and 4 graphically explain the impact.

Figure 3: Impact of Convexity on Property 4: Less Convex Bond

2470_impact of convexity.png

The Figure given above is showing a less convex price/yield relationship than figure 2. Let us see the impact due to the difference in convexities, i.e., when the yield increases and decreases by the same number of basis points and yield change is a large number of basis points. In figure 3 we notice that while the price gain when the required yield decreases is greater than the price decline when the required yield increases, there is not much difference in the amount of gain and amount of loss, or in other terms the gain is not much greater than the loss. But in figure 4 we see that the bonds have greater convexity than the bonds in figure 3. We can notice that the price gain is much greater than the loss.

Figure 4: Impact of Convexity on Property 4: Highly Convex Bond

546_impact of convexity1.png


Related Discussions:- Price volatility characteristics of option-free bonds

Accounting pricniple, The salaries paid in 2004 is Rs.500000; salaries outs...

The salaries paid in 2004 is Rs.500000; salaries outstanding Rs.20000; salaries paid in advance for 2001 is Rs.30000. What is the actual salary expenditure for 2004?

Disclosures of primary and derivative financial instruments, Assignment Ins...

Assignment Instructions You are to survey the annual reports of five listed companies in the extractive industry sector from ASX or other sources for the most recent year possib

Stabilization policies in the aa-dd model, Stabilization Policies in the AA...

Stabilization Policies in the AA-DD Model. Suppose the economy of Zion has reached the long run equilibrium (i.e. full employment). Now assume that a best-seller, written by Ne

Explain the three kind’s non-financial incentives, Q. Explain the three kin...

Q. Explain the three kind’s non-financial incentives? Non-Financial incentives: Incentives which cannot be offered in terms of money are known as non-¬financial incentives. Ind

Define a tax create a deadweight loss, Why does a tax create a deadweight l...

Why does a tax create a deadweight loss?  What determines the size of this loss? A tax makes deadweight loss by artificially increasing price above the free market level, so de

Return enhancement on investment, Return Enhancement can be explained...

Return Enhancement can be explained using following heads: Use of a Valuation Model: An investor having access to a bond valuation model can bu

How to develop career strategy, Q. How to develop career strategy? in t...

Q. How to develop career strategy? in this step employees need to focus on developing the knowledge experience and skills necessary to market self to prospective organizations.

Explain about current value, Q. Explain about Current Value? Current Va...

Q. Explain about Current Value? Current Value - (1) Value of an ASSET at present time as compared with asset's HISTORICAL COST. (2) In finance, amount determined by discounting

Receipt of bids and bid opening, R eceipt of bids and bid opening We d...

R eceipt of bids and bid opening We discussed how to prepare the bids and to publish them in the earlier sub section. Now let us see how to receive and open bids. To receiv

State the types of integration, State the Types of integration ...

State the Types of integration Types of integration Horizontal Target company has same operations, and is in the same industry

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd