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Importance and Application of probability:
Importance of probability theory is in all those areas where event are not certain to take place as same as starting with games of chances. Probability has become one of the basis tools of statistics. Statistics and probability are much interrelated with each other that it is difficult to discuss statistics without understanding the meaning of probability. A knowledge of probability theory makes it easier, simpler and possible to interpret the statistical result, as many of the statistical procedures include involve conclusions based on samples which are randomly choosen.
Probability theory is being applied not only in mathematical problems but also for the solutions of social economical, political and business problems. The insurance insustry emerged in the 19th century, required exact or definite knowledge about the risk of loss inorder to calculate premium. Within few decades the concept of probability has assumed great importance and the mathematical theory of probability has become the basis of statistical application and social and decision making. In fact probability has become a part of everyone life. In personal and management decisions one faces uncertainty and uses probability theory. By organising information and considering it systematically, one will be able to recognise his or her assumptions, communicate his or reasoning to others and make a better decision than he or she could by using a shot in the dark approach. Probability theory in fact is the foundation of statistical conclusion or inference.
Variance The term variance was used to describe the square of the standard deviation by R.A.Fisher. The concept of variance is highly important in areas where it is possible to
Classification of Universe The universe may be classified either on the basis of number of units and on the basis of existence of units as is clear from the following chart :
(a) Elevation (m) 0 400 800 1200 1600 2000 2400 2800 3200 4000 480
Characteristics of Index Number On the analysis of various definitions of index number the following may be its characteristics: 1. Expressed in Number : Index number
Sampling Error It is the difference between the value of the actual population parameter and the sample statistic. Samples are used to arrive at conclusions regarding the p
in a normal distribution with a mean of 85 and a STD of 5, what is the percentage of scores between 75 and 90?
Henry Kaiser suggested a rule for selecting a number of components m less than the number needed for perfect reconstruction: set m equal to the number of eigenvalues greater than I
Is the random vector (Trunk Space, Length, Turning diameter) of US car normally distributed? Why? If yes, find the unbiased estimators for the mean and variance matrix of (Trunk Sp
Find the minimum constant workforce: ABC Company, a manufacturer of roofing supplies, has developed monthly forecasts for roofing tiles. The forecasted demand and the expected
Replacement times for TV sets are normally distributed with a mean of 8.2 years and a standard deviation of 1.1 years. Find the replacement time that separates the top 20% from the
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