How to compare forecasts with the original data, Operation Management

Assignment Help:

Develop a forecast for years 2 through 12 using exponential smoothing with ƒÑƒn= .4 and a forecast for year 1 of 6. Plot your new forecast on a graph with the actual data and the naive forecast. Based on a visual inspection, which forecast is better

Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Demand 7 9 5 9 13 8 12 13 9 11 7

a)Polt the above data on a graph. Do you observe any trend, cycles, or random variations?

b) Starting in year 4 and going to year 12, forecast demand using 3 year moving average. plot your forecast on the same graph as the original data.

c) Starting in year 4 and going to year 12, forecast demand using a 3-year moving average with weights of.1,.3,and .6, using .6 for the most recent year. Plot this forecast on the same graph.

d)As you compare forecasts with the original data, which seems to five the better results?


Related Discussions:- How to compare forecasts with the original data

Need of computer-integrated manufacturing, Q. What is need of computer-inte...

Q. What is need of computer-integrated manufacturing to manufacturing operations? Computer-integrated manufacturing (CIM) implies manufacturing supported through computers. The

Explain lp production- mix situation, The Electro comp Corporation manufact...

The Electro comp Corporation manufactures two electrical products: air conditioners and large fans. The assembly process fo each is similar in that both require a certain amount of

Determine a pareto analysis of the errors, 1. Construct and inerpret ...

1. Construct and inerpret a control chart for the packing slip data. 2. Construct a Pareto analysis of the errors. 3. What information might a separate char

Product redesign, factors that influence redesign process

factors that influence redesign process

Ambience of the physical surroundings - facility layout, Ambience of the Ph...

Ambience of the Physical Surroundings - Facility Layout Décor, noise levels, music, temperature and lighting may affect the customers' judgement of the service, how long they

Describe health care in your own community, Technology Assessment analyze t...

Technology Assessment analyze the basic technology underlying health care information systems and determine the most pressing need for innovation. 2. Explain (with specific example

Describe the scope of the business process outsourcing, List five considera...

List five considerations to consider when starting to define the scope of the business process outsourcing transaction and discuss the importance of each in relation to outsourcing

E-business, E-Business, Knowledge Management and Globalisation of Services ...

E-Business, Knowledge Management and Globalisation of Services Development of supply chains not only in manufacturing but service companies; centralised decision making; exten

Operations and production management , OPERATIONS AND PRODUCTION MANAGEMENT...

OPERATIONS AND PRODUCTION MANAGEMENT   Production and operation management (POM) is defined as the design operation, and enhancement of the transformation process which converts

Explain what are the privacy requirements under hipaa, What are the privacy...

What are the privacy requirements under HIPAA? Explain why confidentiality of health information has been a controversial public policy issue. Give a real world example. How can he

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd