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A two year sales history by quarter for a seasonal product is given below.
Sales Quarter First Year Second Year
1 30 42
2 48 58
3 60 74
4 35 44
a) Using Winter's method, forecast the quarterly sales for the third year.
b) Assume that the actual sales for the first quarter of year 3 is 48 units. What is the revised forecast for the second quarter of the third year? Use a=?=?=0.2.
c) Assume the following actual sales occurred during third year.
1 What advantages can statistical process control methods provide? 2 Explain the significance of common and assignable causes of variability for process control.
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