Energy use in multiplicative seasonal factors, Operation Management

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An Electric Company estimates its demand trend line (in millions of kilowatt hours) to be D = 76 + 0.55 Q, where Q refers to the sequential quarter number and Q=1 for winter 2000. In addition, the multiplicative seasonal factors are as follows:

Quarter Index

Winter 0.9

Spring 2.1

Summer 1.9

Fall 0.6

Forecast energy use for Spring of 2,009. Specify as a whole number by rounding.

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